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Impact Attribution


Agriculture

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Fourth National Climate Assessment

November 2018
David Reidmiller, Christopher W. Avery, Daniel Barrie, Apurva Dave, Benjamin DeAngelo, Matthew Dzaugis, Michael Kolian, Kristin Lewis, Katie Reeves, Darrell Winner, David R. Easterling, David W. Fahey, Sarah Doherty, James P. Kossin, William V. Sweet, Russell S. Vose, Michael F. Wehner, Donald J. Wuebbles, Thomas Johnson, Peter Colohan, Amir AghaKouchak, Sankar Arumugam, Casey Brown, Gregory McCabe, Roger Pulwarty, Craig D. Zamuda, Daniel E. Bilello, Guenter Conzelmann, Ellen Mecray, Ann Satsangi, Vincent Tidwell, Brian J. Walker, Thomas Loveland, James Wickham, Grant Domke, Nate Herold, Nathan Wood, James M. Vose, David L. Peterson, Grant M. Domke, Christopher J. Fettig, Linda A. Joyce, Robert E. Keane, Charles H. Luce, Jeffrey P. Prestemon, Shawn Carter, Jay Peterson, Lisa Crozier, Michael Fogarty, Sarah Gaichas, Kimberly J. W. Hyde, Toni Lyn Morelli, Jeffrey Morisette, Hassan Moustahfid, Roldan Muñoz, Rajendra Poudel, Michelle D. Staudinger, Charles Stock, Laura Thompson, Robin Waples, Jake F. Weltzin, Je
U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP)
This report analyzes the effects of global change on the natural environment, examines current trends in global change, and projects major trends for the subsequent 25 to 100 years. Read More →

Anthropogenic Enhancement of Moderate-to-Strong El Niño Events Likely Contributed to Drought and Poor Harvests in Southern Africa During 2016

January 2018
Chris Funk, Frank Davenport, Laura Harrison, Tamuka Magadzire, Gideon Galu, Guleid A. Artan, Shraddhanand Shukla, Diriba Korecha, Matayo Indeje, Catherine Pomposi, Denis Macharia, Gregory Husak, Faka Dieudonne Nsadisa
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
A 40-member CESM LE ensemble indicates that climate change likely increased the intensity of the 2015/16 El Niño, contributing to further decreases in SA precipitation, crop production and food availability.Read More →

2017 Montana Climate Assessment

September 2017
Cathy Whitlock, Wyatt F. Cross, Bruce Maxwell, Nick Silverman, and Alisa A. Wade
Montana Climate Assessment
This assessment reports on climate trends and their consequences for three of Montana’s vital sectors: water, forests, and agriculture.Read More →

Working Group III Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

April 2014
Ottmar Edenhofer, Ramón Pichs-Madruga, Youba Sokona, Jan C. Minx, Ellie Farahani, Susanne Kadner, Kristin Seyboth, Anna Adler, Ina Baum, Steffen Brunner, Patrick Eickemeier, Benjamin Kriemann, Jussi Savolainen, Steffen Schlömer, Christoph von Stechow, Timm Zwickel
Cambridge University Press
This report presents an assessment climate change mitigation options, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions and reducing their concentrations in the atmosphere. Read More →

Detection and Attribution of Observed Impacts

January 2014
Wolfgang Cramer, Gary W. Yohe, Maximilian Auffhammer, Christian Huggel, Ulf Molau, Maria Assunção Faus da Silva Dias, Andrew Solow, Dáithí A. Stone, Lourdes Tibig
Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability
This chapter synthesizes the scientific literature on the detection and attribution of observed changes in natural and human systems in response to observed recent climate change.Read More →

Chinese Drought, Bread and the Arab Spring

May 2012
Troy Sternberg
Applied Geography
Potential crop failure due to drought led China to buy wheat on the international market and contributed to a doubling of global wheat prices, resulting in price spikes with economic impacts in Egypt, where bread prices tripled. Read More →

Report of Greenhouse Gas Accounting Tools for Agriculture and Forestry Sectors

February 2012
Denef, K., K. Paustian, S. Archibeque, S. Biggar, D. Pape
USDA
This report provides an overview of publicly accessible tools (calculators, protocols, guidelines and models) for quantifying GHG emissions/offsets from agricultural and forestry activities, with a focus on farm/entity/project-level GHG accounting. Read More →

Greenhouse Gas Emissions from U.S. Agriculture and Forestry: A Review of Emission Sources, Controlling Factors, and Mitigation Potential

December 2011
Denef, K., S. Archibeque, and K. Paustian
USDA
This report presents the current state of the science regarding controlling factors and mitigation technologies for GHG emissions in U.S. agriculture and forestry, along with a summary of reported C sequestration and GHG emission reduction ranges. Read More →

Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980

May 2011
David B. Lobell, Wolfram Schlenker, Justin Costa-Roberts
Sciencexpress
This study highlights that that in the cropping regions and growing seasons of most countries, with the important exception of the United States, temperature trends for 1980-2008 exceeded one standard deviation of historic year-to-year variability.Read More →

Impact of Growing Season Temperature on Wheat Productivity in China

June 2009
LiangzhiYou, Mark W.Rosegrant, StanleyWood, DongshengSun
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
This article emphasizes the necessity of including such major influencing factors as physical inputs into the crop yield-climate function in order to have an accurate estimation of climate impact on crop yields.Read More →

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