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Climate Change Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human activities are affecting the global climate system, which includes the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere. The resources listed below focus on how increasing concentrations of CO2 and other heat-trapping gases affect other climate variables, such as atmospheric temperature, ocean heat content, global mean sea level, and sea ice concentration. These resources include some data sets that are integral to attribution research.

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WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update

May 2022
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
This report provides a synthesis of the global annual to decadal predictions produced by the WMO designated Global Producing Centres and other contributing centres for the period 2022- 2026.Read More →

An Unprecedented Record Low Antarctic Sea-ice Extent during Austral Summer 2022

April 2022
Jinfei Wang, Hao Luo, Qinghua Yang, Jiping Liu, Lejiang Yu, Qian Shi & Bo Han
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
This study assesses the causes behind the record low 2022 Antarctic sea-ice extent.Read More →

Intense atmospheric rivers can weaken ice shelf stability at the Antarctic Peninsula

April 2022
Jonathan D. Wille, Vincent Favier, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Christoph Kittel, Jenny V. Turton, Cécile Agosta, Irina V. Gorodetskaya, Ghislain Picard, Francis Codron, Christophe Leroy-Dos Santos, Charles Amory, Xavier Fettweis, Juliette Blanchet, Vincent Jomelli & Antoine Berchet
Communications Earth & Environment
This study shows that the most intense atmospheric rivers induce extremes in temperature, surface melt, sea-ice disintegration, or large swells that destabilize the ice shelves with 40% probability.Read More →

Increase in atmospheric methane set another record during 2021

April 2022
NOAA
NOAA
NOAA scientists observed a record annual increase in atmospheric levels of methane.Read More →

State of the Climate: New Jersey 2021

April 2022
James Shope, Anthony Broccoli, Brian Frei, Mathieu Gerbush, Jeanne Herb, Marjorie Kaplan, Erica Langer, Lucas Marxen, David Robinson
Rutgers
This report summarizes annually updated scientific information on climate trends and projections that can be used by state and local decision-makers, researchers, hazard planning and climate resilience professionals, and residents.Read More →

European State of the Climate 2021

April 2022
Copernicus Climate Change Service, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, European Commission
European Commission
This report summarizes Europe's climatic conditions in 2021, including a focus on the Arctic. Read More →

Timing of emergence of modern rates of sea-level rise by 1863

February 2022
Jennifer S. Walker, Robert E. Kopp, Christopher M. Little, & Benjamin P. Horton
Nature Communications
This study shows that globally, it is very likely that rates of sea-level rise emerged above pre-industrial rates by 1863 CE, which is similar in timing to evidence for early ocean warming and glacier melt.Read More →

Atmospheric River Precipitation Enhanced by Climate Change: A Case Study of the Storm That Contributed to California’s Oroville Dam Crisis

February 2022
Allison C. Michaelis, Alexander Gershunov, Alexander Weyant, Meredith A. Fish, Tamara Shulgina, F. Martin Ralph
Earth's Future
This study assesses how climate change impacts atmospheric river precipitation.Read More →

Trends in surface equivalent potential temperature: A more comprehensive metric for global warming and weather extremes

February 2022
Fengfei Song, Guang J. Zhang, V. Ramanathan, and L. Ruby Leung
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This study measures global warming through surface equivalent potential temperature, which combines the surface air temperature and humidity.Read More →

Mt. Everest’s highest glacier is a sentinel for accelerating ice loss

February 2022
Mariusz Potocki, Paul Andrew Mayewski, Tom Matthews, L. Baker Perry, Margit Schwikowski, Alexander M. Tait, Elena Korotkikh, Heather Clifford, Shichang Kang, Tenzing Chogyal Sherpa, Praveen Kumar Singh, Inka Koch, & Sean Birkel
NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science
This study shows the significant and increasing role that melting and sublimation have on the mass loss of Mt. Everest’s highest glacier.Read More →

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