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Impact Attribution


Air Pollution

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Attributing Human Mortality from Fire PM2.5 to Climate Change

October 2024
Chae Yeon Park, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Shinichiro Fujimori, Thanapat Jansakoo, Chantelle Burton, Huilin Huang, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Matthias Mengel, Eleanor Burke, Fang Li, Stijn Hantson, Junya Takakura, Dong Kun Lee, Tomoko Hasegawa
Nature Climate Change
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors assess the impact of climate change on global mortalities that can be attributed to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) generated from wildfires. Read More →

Wildfire Smoke Exposure and Mortality Burden in the US Under Future Climate Change

March 2024
Minghao Qiu, Jessica Li, Carlos F. Gould, Renzhi Jing, Makoto Kelp, Marissa L. Childs, Jeff Wen, Yuanyu Xie, Meiyun Lin, Mathew V. Kiang, Sam Heft-Neal, Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Marshall Burke
EarthArXiv (preprint)
This study projects increased mortality in the U.S. due to exposure to PM2.5 from wildfire smoke under future climate change scenarios, and projects changes in smoke PM2.5 concentrations and their health impacts.Read More →

Exploring Spatial Heterogeneity in Synergistic Effects of Compound Climate Hazards: Extreme Heat and Wildfire Smoke on Cardiorespiratory Hospitalizations in California

February 2024
Chen Chen, Laura Schwarz, Noam Rosenthal, Miriam E. Marlier, Tarik Benmarhnia
Science Advances
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors used high-resolution satellite and monitoring data to quantify the way that compound exposures to extreme heat and wildfire smoke in California (2006–2019) varied between ZIP codes.Read More →

Decreasing fire season precipitation increased recent western U.S. forest wildfire activity

August 2023
Zachary Holden, Alan Swanson, Charles Luce, W. Jolly, Marco Maneta, Jared Oyler, Dyer Warren, Russell Parsons, and David Affleck
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling and statistical analysis of precipitation trends from 1979 to 2015 in the western United States to show that declines in summer precipitation contributed to the area of land burned by wildfires.Read More →

Compound climate-pollution extremes in Santiago de Chile

April 2023
Sarah Feron, Raúl R. Cordero, Alessandro Damiani, Pedro Oyola, Tabish Ansari, Juan C. Pedemonte, Chenghao Wang, Zutao Ouyang, Valentina Gallo
Nature Scientific Reports
This peer-reviewed study combines existing datasets of social indicators and climate-sensitive health risks with weather and air quality to study the response of different socioeconomic strata in Santiago to compound heat-ozone extremes. Read More →

South Asian black carbon is threatening the water sustainability of the Asian Water Tower

November 2022
Junhua Yang, Shichang Kang, Deliang Chen, Lin Zhao, Zhenming Ji, Keqin Duan, Haijun Deng, Lekhendra Tripathee, Wentao Du, Mukesh Rai, Fangping Yan, Yuan Li, Robert R. Gillies
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study examines the effect of South Asian black carbon emissions on glacial melt in the Tibetan plateau, and indirect effects of this melt on the supply of water in densely-populated regions of South Asia.Read More →

Forest fire threatens global carbon sinks and population centres under rising atmospheric water demand

November 2022
Hamish Clarke, Rachael H. Nolan, Victor Resco De Dios, Ross Bradstock, Anne Griebel, Shiva Khanal & Matthias M. Boer
Nature Communications
This study finds that climate change is projected to lead to widespread increases in fire risk, with at least 30 additional days above critical thresholds for fire activity in forest biomes on every continent by 2100 under rising emissions scenarios.Read More →

Dangerous Air: As California burns, America breathes toxic smoke

September 2021
Alison Saldanha, Farida Jhabvala Romero, Caleigh Wells, and Aaron Glantz
KCRW
An analysis of federal satellite imagery by NPR’s California Newsroom and Stanford University’s Environmental Change and Human Outcomes Lab found a startling increase in the number of days people are breathing wildfire smoke.Read More →

Climate Change and Social Vulnerability in the United States

September 2021
Environmental Protection Agency
Environmental Protection Agency
This reports measures the ways in which socially vulnerable populations may be disproportionately exposed to the highest impacts of climate change.Read More →

Air Quality Life Index Annual Update

September 2021
Ken Lee and Michael Greenstone
Energy Policy Institute at the University of Chicago
Assessing the health impacts of air pollution, with a section on how climate change is exacerbating air pollution.Read More →

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