Climate Attribution

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Extreme Weather Impacts of Climate Change: An Attribution Perspective

June 2022
Ben Clarke, Friederike Otto, Rupert Stuart-Smith, Luke Harrington
Environmental Research: Climate
This review highlights the significant role of extreme event attribution in understanding the specific contributions of climate change. It emphasizes the need for improved methodologies to better capture and attribute these events' impacts globally.Read More →

Machine-Learning-Based Evidence and Attribution Mapping of 100,000 Climate Impact Studies

November 2021
Max Callaghan, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Thomas R. Knutson, Markus Reichstein, Gerrit Hansen, Emily Theokritoff, Marina Andrijevic, Robert J. Brecha, Michael Hegarty, Chelsea Jones, Kaylin Lee, Agathe Lucas, Nicole van Maanen, Inga Menke, Peter Pfleiderer, Burcu Yesil, Jan C. Minx
Nature Climate Change
This study emphasizes discrepancies in climate research across different global regions and points to an 'attribution gap' between high-income and low-income countries using the BERT language model. Read More →

Enhanced El Niño–Southern Oscillation Variability in Recent Decades

October 2021
Pamela R. Grothe, Kim M. Cobb, Giovanni Liguori, Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Antonietta Capotondi, Yanbin Lu, Hai Cheng, R. Lawrence Edwards, John R. Southon, Guaciara M. Santos, Daniel M. Deocampo, Jean Lynch‐Stieglitz, Tianran Chen, Hussein R. Sayani, Diane M. Thompson, Jessica L. Conroy, Andrea L. Moore, Kayla Townsend, Melat Hagos, Gemma O'Connor, Lauren T. Toth
American Geophysical Union
Recent modeling studies suggest that El Niño will intensify due to greenhouse warming.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Climate Impacts in Southern Africa During the 21st Century – African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy

September 2021
Robert Scholes, Francois Engelbrecht
Legal Document - African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy
This expert report, filed by plaintiffs in the case "African Climate Alliance et al. v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy," reviews the impact on Africa south of the 15th degree south parallel.Read More →

Filling the evidentiary gap in climate litigation

June 2021
Rupert F. Stuart-Smith, Friederike E. L. Otto, Aisha I. Saad, Gaia Lisi, Petra Minnerop, Kristian Cedervall Lauta, Kristin van Zwieten & Thom Wetzer
Nature Climate Change
The evidence submitted and referenced in climate mitigation cases lags considerably behind the state of the art in climate science, impeding causation claims.Read More →