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Climate Change Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human activities are affecting the global climate system, which includes the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere. The resources listed below focus on how increasing concentrations of CO2 and other heat-trapping gases affect other climate variables, such as atmospheric temperature, ocean heat content, global mean sea level, and sea ice concentration. These resources include some data sets that are integral to attribution research.

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Assessment of pre-industrial to present-day anthropogenic climate forcing in UKESM1

January 2021
O'Connor, F. M., Abraham, N. L., Dalvi, M., Folberth, G. A., Griffiths, P. T., Hardacre, C., Johnson, B. T., Kahana, R., Keeble, J., Kim, B., Morgenstern, O., Mulcahy, J. P., Richardson, M., Robertson, E., Seo, J., Shim, S., Teixeira, J. C., Turnock, S. T., Williams, J., Wiltshire, A. J., Woodward, S., and Zeng, G
European Geosciences Union
The authors quantify and analyse a wide range of present-day anthropogenic effective radiative forcings with the UK's Earth System Model, UKESM1.Read More →

Earth’s Ice Imbalance

January 2021
Thomas Slater, Isobel R. Lawrence, Inès N. Otosaka, Andrew Shepherd, Noel Gourmelen, Livia Jakob, Paul Tepes, Lin Gilbert, and Peter Nienow
The Cryosphere
Earth lost 28 trillion tonnes of ice between 1994 and 2017, and the rate of ice loss has risen by 57 % since the 1990s.Read More →

The influence of anthropogenic climate change on wet and dry summers in Europe

January 2021
Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott
Elsevier
The authors apply attribution research methods to investigate the effect of human influence on historical trends in wet and dry summers and changes in the likelihood of extreme events in Europe. Read More →

Attribution of late summer early autumn Arctic sea ice decline in recent decades

January 2021
Lejiang Yu, Shiyuan Zhong, Timo Vihma, Bo Sun
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
An attribution analysis based on the self-organizing maps method is performed to determine the relative contributions from dynamic and thermodynamic mechanisms to the Arctic sea ice decline in August–October during 1979–2016. Read More →

A Later Onset of the Rainy Season in California

January 2021
Jelena Luković, John C. H. Chiang, Dragan Blagojević, Aleksandar Sekulić
American Geophysical Union
This paper addresses quantitative changes in the onset, amounts, and termination of the precipitation season over the past 6 decades, as well as the large‐scale atmospheric circulation underpinning the seasonal cycle changes.Read More →

A Global, Continental, and Regional Analysis of Changes in Extreme Precipitation

December 2020
Qiaohong Sun, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Seth Westra, Lisa V. Alexander
American Meteorological Society
This paper provides an updated analysis of observed changes in extreme precipitation using high-quality station data up to 2018.Read More →

Combined Impacts of Warm Central Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and Anthropogenic Warming on the 2019 Severe Drought in East China

October 2020
Shuangmei Ma, Congwen Zhu, Juan Liu
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
Warm central equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature and anthropogenic warming were possibly responsible for the severe drought that occurred in East China from August to October 2019. Read More →

Extremes become routine in an emerging new Arctic

September 2020
Laura Landrum, Marika M. Holland
Nature
This study shows how the Arctic is transitioning from a dominantly frozen state.Read More →

Anthropogenic warming forces extreme annual glacier mass loss

August 2020
Lauren J. Vargo, Brian M. Anderson, Ruzica Dadić, Huw J. Horgan, Andrew N. Mackintosh, Andrew D. King, Andrew M. Lorrey
Nature Climate Change
Glacier mass balance is simulated using temperature and precipitation from multiple climate model ensembles. The authors estimate extreme mass loss was six (2011) and ten (2018) times more likely to occur with anthropogenic forcing than without.Read More →

Trends in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide

July 2020
Global Monitoring Laboratory, NOAA
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Global Monitoring Laboratory
This online resource presents current and historical trends in atmospheric carbon dioxide levels over marine surface sites. Read More →

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