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Climate Change Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human activities are affecting the global climate system, which includes the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere. The resources listed below focus on how increasing concentrations of CO2 and other heat-trapping gases affect other climate variables, such as atmospheric temperature, ocean heat content, global mean sea level, and sea ice concentration. These resources include some data sets that are integral to attribution research.

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How Fast Are the Oceans Warming?

January 2019
Lijing Cheng, John Abraham, Zeke Hausfather, Kevin E. Trenberth
Science
This study presents observational records that show the rapid warming of the Earth’s oceans over the past few decades.Read More →

Warming Assessment of the Bottom-Up Paris Agreement Emissions Pledges

November 2018
Yann Robiou du Pont, Malte Meinshausen
Nature Communications
This article discusses how countries pledge Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the terms of the Paris Agreement, and the implications of each country's NDCs. Read More →

Holding Fossil Fuel Companies Accountable for their Contribution to Climate Change: Where Does the Law Stand?

October 2018
Michael Burger, Jessica Wentz
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
This article analyzes a San Francisco case that explores the question of whether and to what extent it is possible to legally attribute harmful impacts associated with climate change to specific actors or conduct. Read More →

Marine Heatwaves Under Global Warming

August 2018
Thomas L. Frölicher, Erich M. Fischer, Nicolas Gruber
Nature
This report argues that marine heat waves (MHWs) are becoming longer-lasting and more frequent, extensive and intense in the past few decades, and that this trend will accelerate under further global warming.Read More →

Scientists See Fingerprints of Climate Change All Over California’s Wildfires

August 2018
Kurtis Alexander
San Francisco Chronicle
This article discusses how climate change is influenced the jet stream that drives California's wildfires.Read More →

Human influence on the seasonal cycle of tropospheric temperature

July 2018
Benjamin D. Santer, Stephen Po-Chedley, Mark D. Zelinka, Ivana Cvijanovic, Céline Bonfils, Paul J. Durack, Qiang Fu, Jeffrey Kiehl, Carl Mears, Jeffrey Painter, Giuliana Pallotta, Susan Solomon, Frank J. Wentz, Cheng-Zhi Zou
American Association for the Advancement of Science
The results of this study suggest that attribution studies with the seasonal cycle of tropospheric temperature provide powerful and novel evidence for a statistically significant human effect on Earth’s climate.Read More →

Red-hot Planet: All-time heat Records Have Been Set All Over the World During the Past Week

July 2018
Jason Samenow
The Washington Post
This article describes the all-time record-setting heat wave in the Northern Hemisphere in summer 2018 and cautions that these heat records are consistent with the extremes scientists expect to see in a warming world. Read More →

Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ detection and attribution multi-model ensemble

June 2018
Michael Wehner, Dáithí Stone, Hideo Shiogama, Piotr Wolski, Andrew Ciavarella, Nikolaos Christidis, Harinarayan Krishnan
Elsevier
We find that most regions experience increases in the frequency and intensity of extremely hot three day periods due to anthropogenic climate change.Read More →

Hurricane Harvey Links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation

May 2018
Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Earth's Future
This article uses ocean and atmosphere observations to demonstrate links between increased upper ocean heat content due to global warming with the extreme rainfalls from recent hurricanes.Read More →

Quantitative Attribution of Climate Effects on Hurricane Harvey’s Extreme Rainfall in Texas

April 2018
S-Y Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, Robert R Gillies
Environmental Research Letters
This study suggests that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation of Hurricane Harvey. Read More →

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