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Climate Change Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human activities are affecting the global climate system, which includes the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere. The resources listed below focus on how increasing concentrations of CO2 and other heat-trapping gases affect other climate variables, such as atmospheric temperature, ocean heat content, global mean sea level, and sea ice concentration. These resources include some data sets that are integral to attribution research.

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World Meteorological Organization Greenhouse Gas Bulletin

October 2017
World Meteorological Organization
This report provided an overview of the in situ measured greenhouse gases for 2016. Levels of CO2, methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) reached new highs in 2016 which were respectively, 145%, 257% and 122% of pre-industrial (before 1750) levels. Read More →

The Rise in Atmospheric CO2, Surface Temperature, and Sea Level from Emissions Traced to Major Carbon Producers

September 2017
B. Ekwurzel, J. Boneham, M. W. Dalton, R. Heede, R. J. Mera, M. R. Allen, P. C. Frumhoff
Climatic Change
This article traces the rise in global atmospheric emissions from industrial carbon producers and seeks to highlight these emissions' historical responsibilities for climate change. Read More →

Diagnosing Conditional Anthropogenic Contributions to Heavy Colorado Rainfall in September 2013

September 2017
Pardeep Palla, Christina M. Patricola, Michael F. Wehner, Dáithí A. Stone, Christopher J. Paciorek, William D. Collins
Weather and Climate Extremes
This study investigates the possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the Colorado floods of September 2013. Read More →

Detecting and Attributing Health Burdens to Climate Change

August 2017
Kristie L. Ebi, Nicholas H. Ogden, Jan C. Semenza, Alistair Woodward
Environmental Health Perspectives
This study aims to show a range of approaches for conducting detection and attribution analyses. Read More →

The Effect of Increased Fresh Water from Antarctic Ice Shelves on Future Trends in Antarctic Sea Ice

July 2017
R. Bintanja, G.J. van Oldenborgh, C.A. Katsman
Cambridge University Press
This study investigates the extent to which future sea-ice trends are influenced by projected increases in Antarctic freshwater due to subsurface melt, finding that the additional freshwater significantly offsets the decline in sea-ice area. Read More →

Attribution of the Observed Spring Snowpack Decline in British Columbia to Anthropogenic Climate Change

June 2017
Mohammad Reza Najafi, Francis Zwiers, and Nathan Gillett
Journal of Climate
Robust anthropogenic influence is detected in three Canadian river basins: Fraser Columbia, and Campbell. Read More →

Influence of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Planetary Wave Resonance and Extreme Weather Events

March 2017
Michael E. Mann, Stefan Rahmstorf, Kai Kornhuber, Byron A. Steinman, Sonya K. Miller, Dim Coumou
Scientific Reports
This study uses climate models and observational surface temperature datasets to demonstrate an increase in the projection for a fingerprint in the zonal mean surface temperature profile that is associated with QRA-favorable conditions. Read More →

Anthropogenic warming impacts on California snowpack during drought

March 2017
Neil Berg, Alex Hall
American Geophysical Union
Anthropogenic warming reduced average snowpack levels by 25%.Read More →

Perspective Has a Strong Effect on the Calculation of Historical Contributions to Global Warming

February 2017
Ragnhild B Skeie, Jan Fuglestvedt, Terje Berntsen, Glen P Peters, Robbie Andrew, Myles Allen, Steffen Kallbekken
IOP Science
This study explores countries' emissions responsibilities by presenting a broad and systematic analysis of how various scientific and policy-related choices influence the calculations of historical contributions for individual countries.Read More →

Attribution of the local Hadley cell widening in the Southern Hemisphere

January 2017
Yeon‐Hee Kim, Seung‐Ki Min, Seok‐Woo Son, Jung Choi
Advancing Earth and Space Science
Attribution analysis of long‐term changes in the Hadley cell indicates a possible attribution of the observed local HC widening over these regions to anthropogenic forcings.Read More →

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