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Climate Change Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human activities are affecting the global climate system, which includes the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere. The resources listed below focus on how increasing concentrations of CO2 and other heat-trapping gases affect other climate variables, such as atmospheric temperature, ocean heat content, global mean sea level, and sea ice concentration. These resources include some data sets that are integral to attribution research.

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The Contribution of China’s Emissions to Global Climate Forcing

March 2016
Bengang Li, Thomas Gasser, Philippe Ciais, Shilong Piao, Shu Tao, Yves Balkanski, Didier Hauglustaine, Juan-Pablo Boisier, Zhuo Chen, Mengtian Huang, Laurent Zhaoxin Li, Yue Li, Hongyan Liu, Junfeng Liu, Shushi Peng, Zehao Shen, Zhenzhong Sun, Rong Wang, Tao Wang, Guodong Yin, Yi Yin, Hui Zeng, Zhenzhong Zeng, Feng Zhou
Nature
This study quantifies China’s present-day contribution to global radiative forcing and finds that that China contributes 10% ± 4% of the current global radiative forcing.Read More →

Paris Agreement to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

December 2015
United Nations
This document highlights the climate change mitigation, adaptation, and finance agreements within the UNFCCC.Read More →

Evidence for Added Value of Convection-Permitting Models for Studying Changes in Extreme Precipitation

December 2015
Edmund P. Meredith, Douglas Maraun, Vladimir A. Semenov, Wonsun Park
JGR Atmospheres
This study explore the added value of convection‐permitting models by comparing the response of the extreme precipitation to a wide range of SST forcings in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations using parametrized and explicit convection.Read More →

The 2014 Drought in the Horn of Africa: Attribution of Meteorological Drivers

December 2015
T. R. Marthews, F. E. L. Otto, D. Mitchell, S. J. Dadson, R. G. Jones
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Ensemble modeling of the East African 2014 long rains season suggests no anthropogenic influence on the likelihood of low rainfall but clear signals in other drivers of drought.Read More →

Anomalous Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific in August 2014

December 2015
Lei Yang, Xin Wang, Ke Huang, Dongxiao Wang
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The absence of western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity during August 2014 was apparently related to strong easterly wind anomalies induced by combined negative intraseasonal and Pacific decadal oscillation phases.Read More →

Hurricane Gonzalo and Its Extratropical Transition to a Strong European Storm

December 2015
Frauke Feser, Monika Barcikowska, Susanne Haeseler, Christiana Lefebvre, Martina SchubertFrisius, Martin Stendel, Hans von Storch, Matthias Zahn
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
After transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical storm, Gonzalo tracked unusually far, achieving exceptional strength over Europe; however, it was within the historical range of such transforming storms.Read More →

Changes in the Geospatial Height at 500 hPa Under the Influence of External Climatic Forcings

November 2015
Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott
Geophysical Research Letters
This study investigates the effects of climate forcings in the lower atmosphere using the geopotential height at 500 hPa, revealing the prominent role of human influence on some recent climatic changes.Read More →

Changes in the geopotential height at 500 hPa under the influence of external climatic forcings

November 2015
Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott
American Geophysical Union
A significant global increase in the annual and seasonal mean geopotential height due to human influence is detected.Read More →

Climate Change Effects on Heat- and Cold-Related Mortality in the Netherlands: A Scenario-Based Integrated Environmental Health Impact Assessment

October 2015
Maud M. T. E. Huynen, Pim Martens
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
This article explores the impacts of climate change on heat and cold-related mortality, illustrating that model outcomes are not only highly dependent on climate scenarios, but also on adaptation assumptions. Read More →

Quantifying Historical Carbon and Climate Debts Among Nations

September 2015
H. Damon Matthews
Nature Climate Change
This study explores countries' varied levels of responsibility for climate change by examining historical carbon emissions. Read More →

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