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Climate Change Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human activities are affecting the global climate system, which includes the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere. The resources listed below focus on how increasing concentrations of CO2 and other heat-trapping gases affect other climate variables, such as atmospheric temperature, ocean heat content, global mean sea level, and sea ice concentration. These resources include some data sets that are integral to attribution research.

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Climate Justice and the Application of Probabilistic Event Attribution to Summer Heat Extremes in the California Central Valley

August 2015
Roberto Mera, Neil Massey, David E. Rupp, Philip Mote, Myles Allen, Peter C. Frumhoff
SpringerLink
This study applies probabilistic event attribution (PEA) to explore the climate attribution of recent extreme heat events in California's Central Valley. Read More →

Distributive Fairness: A Mutual Recognition Approach

August 2015
Arild Underdal, Taoyuan Wei
Environmental Science and Policy
This article "translates" the UNFCCC principles of responsibilities and capabilities into 15 allocation schemes and explores the implications of these schemes for the mitigation obligations and costs of seven potentially pivotal actors. Read More →

Crucial Role of Black Sea Warming in Amplifying the 2012 Krymsk Precipitation Extreme

July 2015
Edmund P. Meredith, Vladimir A. Semenov, Douglas Maraun, Wonsun Park, Alexander V. Chernokulsky
Nature Geoscience
This study examines the effect of sea surface temperature (SST) increase on convective extremes within the region, taking the Krymsk event as a showcase example. Read More →

Estimating CO2 Emissions Embodied in Final Demand and Trade Using the OECD ICIO 2015

May 2015
Kirsten S. Wiebe, Norihiko Yamano
OECD Science, Technology, and Industry Working Papers
This paper explores estimates of CO2 emissions embodied in final demand since the early 1990s as a contribution to a better understanding of how CO2 world are driven by global consumption patterns.Read More →

Attribution of the Record High Central England Temperature of 2014 to Anthropogenic Influences

May 2015
Andrew D King, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, David J Karoly, Sophie C Lewis, Heidi Cullen
Environmental Research Letters
This study points to a large influence of human activities on extreme warm years despite the small region of study and the variable climate of Central England, demonstrating that climate change is clearly visible on the local-scale in this case.Read More →

Anthropogenic Warming Has Increased Drought Risk in California

March 2015
Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Daniel L. Swain, Danielle Touma
Proceedings of the National Academy of the Sciences of the United States of America
This study finds that precipitation deficits in California were more than twice as likely to yield drought years if they occurred when conditions were warm. Read More →

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2014

January 2015
Rajendra K. Pachauri, Myles R. Allen, Vicente R. Barros, John Broome, Wolfgang Cramer, Renate Christ, John A. Church, Leon Clarke, Qin Dahe , Purnamita Dasgupta, Navroz K. Dubash, Ottmar Edenhofer, Ismail Elgizouli , Christopher B. Field, Piers Forster, Pierre Friedlingstein, Jan Fuglestvedt, Luis Gomez-Echeverri, Stephane Hallegatte, Gabriele Hegerl, Mark Howden, Kejun Jiang, Blanca Jimenez Cisneros, Vladimir Kattsov, Hoesung Lee, Katharine J. Mach, Jochem Marotzke, Michael D. Mastrandrea, Leo Meyer, Jan Minx, Yacob Mulugetta, Karen O’Brien, Michael Oppenheimer, Joy J. Pereira, Ramón Pichs-Madruga, Gian-Kasper Plattner, Hans-Otto Pörtner, Scott B. Power, Benjamin Preston, N.H. Ravindranath, Andy Reisinger, Keywan Riahi, Matilde Rusticucci, Robert Scholes, Kristin Seyboth, Youba Sokona, Robert Stavins, Thomas F. Stocker, Petra Tschakert, Detlef van Vuuren, Jean-Pascal van Ypersele
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
This Synthesis Report is based on the reports of the three Working Groups of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and provides an integrated view of climate change as the final part of the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5).Read More →

Projected increase in lightning strikes in the United States due to global warming

November 2014
David M. Romps, Jacob T. Seeley, David Vollaro, John Molinari
Science
This study proposes that the lightning flash rate is proportional to the convective available potential energy (CAPE) times the precipitation rate. Read More →

Causes of the Extreme Dry Conditions Over California During Early 2013

September 2014
Hailan Wang, Siegfried Schubert
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The 2013 SST anomalies produced a predilection for California drought, whereas the longterm warming trend appears to make no appreciable contribution because of the counteraction between its dynamical and thermodynamic effects. Read More →

Examining the Contribution of the Observed Global Warming Trend to the California Droughts of 2012/13 and 2013/14

September 2014
Christopher C. Funk, Andrew Hoell, Daithi Stone
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Long-term SST warming trends did not contribute substantially to the 2012/13 and 2013/14 California droughts. North Pacific SSTs were exceptionally warm, however; and coupled models indicate more frequent extreme precipitation.Read More →

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