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Climate Change Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human activities are affecting the global climate system, which includes the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, lithosphere, and biosphere. The resources listed below focus on how increasing concentrations of CO2 and other heat-trapping gases affect other climate variables, such as atmospheric temperature, ocean heat content, global mean sea level, and sea ice concentration. These resources include some data sets that are integral to attribution research.

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A Synthesis of Carbon in International Trade

August 2012
G. P. Peters, S. J. Davis, R. Andrew
Biogeosciences
This paper synthesizes carbon transfer through emissions embodied in goods and services that are produced in one country but consumed in others, as well as carbon physically present in fossil fuels and other sources. Read More →

The Absence of a Role of Climate Change in the 2011 Thailand Floods

July 2012
Thomas C. Peterson, Peter A. Stott, Stephanie Herring
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Using a variety of methodologies, six extreme events of the previous year are explained from a climate perspective.Read More →

Chinese Drought, Bread and the Arab Spring

May 2012
Troy Sternberg
Applied Geography
Potential crop failure due to drought led China to buy wheat on the international market and contributed to a doubling of global wheat prices, resulting in price spikes with economic impacts in Egypt, where bread prices tripled. Read More →

A Decade of Weather Extremes

March 2012
Dim Coumou, Stefan Rahmstorf
Nature Climate Change
This article reviews the evidence and argue that for some types of extreme--notably heatwaves, but also precipitation extremes--there is now strong evidence linking specific events or an increase in their numbers to the human influence on climate.Read More →

Equity in Climate Change: An Analytical Review

January 2012
Aaditya Mattoo, Arvind Subramanian
The World Bank
This paper presents an analytical framework to encompass contributions to the literature on equity in climate change, and highlights the consequences—in terms of future emissions allocations—of different approaches to equity. Read More →

Patterns of Change: Whose Fingerprint Is Seen in Global Warming?

December 2011
Gabriele Hegerl, Francis Zwiers, Claudia Tebaldi
Environmental Research Letters
This article explores the physical arguments used in climate change attribution, and the statistical methods applied to explore the extent of attribution in recent climate records. Read More →

Increase of Extreme Events in a Warming World

November 2011
Stefan Rahmstorf, Dim Coumou
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
This study develops a theoretical approach to quantify the effect of long-term trends on the expected number of extremes, finding that climatic warming increases the number of extreme events and the number of new global-mean temperature records. Read More →

The Supply Chain of CO2 Emissions

September 2011
Steven J. Davis, Glen P. Peters, Ken Caldeira
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This paper presents a consistent set of carbon inventories that reveal vulnerabilities and benefits related to current patterns of energy use that are relevant to climate and energy policy. Read More →

Growth in emission transfers via international trade from 1990 to 2008

May 2011
Glen P. Peters, Jan C. Minx, Christopher L. Weber, and Ottmar Edenhofer
PNAS
This study explores the growth in emission transfers via international trade and suggests that countries monitor emission transfers via international trade, in addition to territorial emissions, to stabilize greenhouse gas emissions. Read More →

Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980

May 2011
David B. Lobell, Wolfram Schlenker, Justin Costa-Roberts
Sciencexpress
This study highlights that that in the cropping regions and growing seasons of most countries, with the important exception of the United States, temperature trends for 1980-2008 exceeded one standard deviation of historic year-to-year variability.Read More →

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