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Extreme Event Attribution


Cross-cutting Research

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Hurricane Ida’s Blackout-Heatwave Compound Risk in a Changing Climate

May 2025
Kairui Feng, Ning Lin, Avantika Gori, Dazhi Xi, Min Ouyang, and Michael Oppenheimer
Nature Communications
This study examines the increased tropical cyclone-blackout-heatwave compound risk in Louisiana and finds that the return period of major events is expected to decrease by 17 times in this century. Read More →

The Footprint of Human-induced Climate Change on Heat-Related Deaths in the Summer of 2022 in Switzerland

July 2024
Ana M. Vicedo-Cabrera, Evan de Schrijver, Dominik L. Schumacher, Martina S. Ragettli, Erich M. Fischer, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Environmental Research Letters
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors quantify the heat-related mortality burden attributed to human-induced climate change in Switzerland during the summer of 2022.Read More →

Increasing frequency and intensity of the most extreme wildfires on Earth

June 2024
Calum X. Cunningham, Grant J. Williamson, David M. J. S. Bowman
Nature Ecology & Evolution
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors assess the frequency of extreme wildfire events, and find that the frequency of >99.99th percentile events has increased by 2.2x between 2002 and 2023.Read More →

Heatwave attribution based on reliable operational weather forecasts

May 2024
Nicholas J. Leach, Christopher D. Roberts, Matthias Aengenheyster, Daniel Heathcote, Dann M. Mitchell, Vikki Thompson, Tim Palmer, Antje Weisheimer, Myles R. Allen
Nature Communications
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors use state-of-the-art operational weather prediction systems to simulate the 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave, and demonstrate that anthropogenic climate change made this event at least 8 times more likely.Read More →

Causes of 2022 Pakistan flooding and its linkage with China and Europe heatwaves

October 2023
Chi-Cherng Hong, An-Yi Huang, Huang-Hsiung Hsu, Wan-Ling Tseng, Mong-Ming Lu, Chih-Chun Chang
NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science
This peer-reviewed study examines the 2022 Pakistan floods that displaced over 30 million people and heatwaves over central China and Europe during the same period, and finds a broader teleconnection pattern linking these phenomena.Read More →

State of the Climate in Africa 2022

September 2023
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
This synthesis report shows that the rate of temperature increase in Africa has accelerated in recent decades, with weather- and climate-related hazards becoming more severe.Read More →

Decreasing fire season precipitation increased recent western U.S. forest wildfire activity

August 2023
Zachary Holden, Alan Swanson, Charles Luce, W. Jolly, Marco Maneta, Jared Oyler, Dyer Warren, Russell Parsons, and David Affleck
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling and statistical analysis of precipitation trends from 1979 to 2015 in the western United States to show that declines in summer precipitation contributed to the area of land burned by wildfires.Read More →

State of the Climate in the South-West Pacific 2022

August 2023
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
This synthesis report summarizes the state of the climate, extreme events, and their socioeconomic impacts in the South-West Pacific in 2022.Read More →

State of the Climate in Asia 2022

July 2023
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
This synthesis report summarizes the state of the climate and the extreme events and their socioeconomic impacts in Asia in 2022.Read More →

Future extreme high-temperature risk in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration of China based on a regional climate model coupled with urban parameterization scheme

April 2023
Yujie Wang, Yang Xiang, Zhenyu Han, and Lianchun Song
Theoretical and Applied Climatology
This peer-reviewed study combines climate models, population models, and models of building energy and location to predict the effect of future intense heat events on populations of the Chinese cities of Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei.Read More →

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