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Extreme Event Attribution


Cross-cutting Research

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Assessment of Historic and Future Trends of Extreme Weather in Texas, 1900-2036

October 2021
John Nielsen-Gammon, Sara Holman, Austin Buley, Savannah Jorgensen
Texas A&M University Office of the Texas State Climatologist
This report analyzes historic observations of temperature, precipitation, and extreme weather in Texas and identifies ongoing and likely future trends out to the year 2036.Read More →

Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes

September 2021
Wim Thiery, Stefan Lange, Joeri Rogelj, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Lukas Gudmundsson, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Marina Andrijevic, Katja Frieler, Kerry Emanuel, Tobias Geiger, David N. Bresch, Fang Zhao, Sven N. Willner, Matthias Büchner, Jan Volkholz, Nico Bauer, Jinfeng Chang, Philippe Ciais, Marie Dury, Louis François, Manolis Grillakis, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Thomas Hickler, Veronika Huber, Akihiko Ito, Jonas Jägermeyr, Nikolay Khabarov, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Wenfeng Liu, Wolfgang Lutz, Matthias Mengel, Christoph Müller, Sebastian Ostberg, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Tobias Stacke, Yoshihide Wada
Science
This study estimates that, under current climate pledges, children born in 2020 will experience a two- to sevenfold increase in extreme events, particularly heat waves, compared with people born in 1960.Read More →

Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis

August 2021
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
The IPCC's most up-to-date report on physical understanding of the climate system, concluding unequivocally that human activity is driving climate change in every part of the world. Read More →

Climate change attribution and legal contexts: evidence and the role of storylines

August 2021
Elisabeth A. Lloyd & Theodore G. Shepherd
Climatic Change
This article assesses the storyline approach to attribution and argues that the storyline approach aligns well with the concept of legal evidence. Read More →

Anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation over global land areas seen in multiple observational datasets

July 2021
Gavin D. Madakumbura, Chad W. Thackeray, Jesse Norris, Naomi Goldenson & Alex Hall
Nature Communications
Climate change is rendering hurricanes, monsoons and other extreme events more destructive all over the world. Read More →

Filling the evidentiary gap in climate litigation

June 2021
Rupert F. Stuart-Smith, Friederike E. L. Otto, Aisha I. Saad, Gaia Lisi, Petra Minnerop, Kristian Cedervall Lauta, Kristin van Zwieten & Thom Wetzer
Nature Climate Change
The evidence submitted and referenced in climate mitigation cases lags considerably behind the state of the art in climate science, impeding causation claims.Read More →

WMO Atlas of Mortality and Economic Losses from Weather, Climate and Water Extremes (1970–2019)

January 2021
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
An overview of impacts from weather, climate, and water extremes globally from 1970 to 2019, with a section on climate change attribution.Read More →

State of the Climate in Africa 2020

January 2021
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
This report summarizes climate trends, observed high-impact events, and associated risks and impacts on key sensitive sectors in Africa during the year 2020.Read More →

2021 Vermont Climate Assessment

January 2021
The University of Vermont, The Nature Conservatory
The University of Vermont, The Nature Conservatory
This assessment provides a framework for understanding climate change impacts in Vermont.Read More →

Challenges to Understanding Extreme Weather Changes in Lower Income Countries

October 2020
Friederike E. L. Otto, Luke Harrington, Katharina Schmitt, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Roop Singh, Joyce Kimutai, and Piotr Wolski
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This article outlines six focus areas to lessen barriers to understanding extreme weather changes in lower income countries.Read More →

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