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Impact Attribution


Cross-cutting Research

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Arctic Report Card 2021: Rapid and pronounced warming continues to drive the evolution of the Arctic environment

December 2021
Twila A. Moon, Matthew L. Druckenmiller, Richard L. Thoman
NOAA
This report provides environmental information on the current state of different components of the Arctic environmental system relative to historical records.Read More →

The 2021 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: code red for a healthy future

October 2021
Marina Romanello, Alice McGushin, Claudia Di Napoli, Paul Drummond, Nick Hughes, Louis Jamart, Harry Kennard, Pete Lampard, Baltazar Solano Rodriguez, Nigel Arnell, Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson, Kristine Belesova, Wenjia Cai, Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum, Stuart Capstick, Jonathan Chambers, Lingzhi Chu, Luisa Ciampi, Carole Dalin, Niheer Dasandi, Shouro Dasgupta, Michael Davies, Paula Dominguez-Salas, Robert Dubrow, Kristie L Ebi, Matthew Eckelman, Paul Ekins, Luis E Escobar, Lucien Georgeson, Delia Grace, Hilary Graham, Samuel H Gunther, Stella Hartinger, Kehan He, Clare Heaviside, Jeremy Hess, Shih-Che Hsu, Slava Jankin, Marcia P Jimenez, Ilan Kelman, Gregor Kiesewetter, Patrick L Kinney, Tord Kjellstrom, Dominic Kniveton, Jason K W Lee, Bruno Lemke, Yang Liu, Zhao Liu, Melissa Lott, Rachel Lowe, Jaime Martinez-Urtaza, Mark Maslin, Lucy McAllister, Celia McMichael, Zhifu Mi, James Milner, Kelton Minor, Nahid Mohajeri, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Karyn Morrissey, Simon Munzert, Kris A Murray, Tara Neville, Maria Nilsson, Nick Obradovich, Maquins Odhiambo Sewe, Tadj Oreszczyn, Matthias Otto, Fereidoon Owfi, Olivia Pearman, David Pencheon, Mahnaz Rabbaniha, Elizabeth Robinson, Joacim Rocklöv, Renee N Salas, Jan C Semenza, Jodi Sherman, Liuhua Shi, Marco Springmann, Meisam Tabatabaei, Jonathon Taylor, Joaquin Trinanes, Joy Shumake-Guillemot, Bryan Vu, Fabian Wagner, Paul Wilkinson, Matthew Winning, Marisol Yglesias, Shihui Zhang, Peng Gong, Hugh Montgomery, Anthony Costello, Ian Hamilton
The Lancet
This review article represents the consensus of leading researchers on the health impacts of climate change.Read More →

Machine-learning-based evidence and attribution mapping of 100,000 climate impact studies

October 2021
Max Callaghan, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Thomas R. Knutson, Markus Reichstein, Gerrit Hansen, Emily Theokritoff, Marina Andrijevic, Robert J. Brecha, Michael Hegarty, Chelsea Jones, Kaylin Lee, Agathe Lucas, Nicole van Maanen, Inga Menke, Peter Pfleiderer, Burcu Yesil & Jan C. Minx
Nature Climate Change
This article uses machine learning to infer that attributable anthropogenic impacts may be occurring across 80% of the world’s land area, while revealing that researchers have disproportionately focused on high-income countries.Read More →

Emergent biogeochemical risks from Arctic permafrost degradation

September 2021
Kimberley R. Miner , Juliana D’Andrilli , Rachel Mackelprang , Arwyn Edwards, Michael J. Malaska , Mark P. Waldrop , and Charles E. Miller 
Nature Climate Change
This review article identifies potential hazards currently frozen in Arctic permafrost.Read More →

Climate Change and Social Vulnerability in the United States

September 2021
Environmental Protection Agency
Environmental Protection Agency
This reports measures the ways in which socially vulnerable populations may be disproportionately exposed to the highest impacts of climate change.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Climate Impacts in Southern Africa During the 21st Century – African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy

September 2021
Robert Scholes, Francois Engelbrecht
Legal Document - African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy
This expert report, filed by plaintiffs in the case "African Climate Alliance et al. v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy," reviews the impact on Africa south of the 15th degree south parallel.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Climate Change Implications for South Africa’s Youth – African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy

August 2021
Nicholas King
Legal Document - African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy
In this expert report, filed by plaintiffs in the case "African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy," the author reviews literature and projects conditions under different emissions scenarios in three South African regions.Read More →

Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis

August 2021
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
The IPCC's most up-to-date report on physical understanding of the climate system, concluding unequivocally that human activity is driving climate change in every part of the world. Read More →

Enhanced Rare Earth Element Mobilization in a Mountain Watershed of the Colorado Mineral Belt with Concomitant Detection in Aquatic Biota: Increasing Climate Change-Driven Degradation to Water Quality

August 2021
Garrett P. Rue and Diane M. McKnight
Environmental Science and Technology
This study reports on climate change-driven water quality impacts in the Snake River watershed.Read More →

Climate change attribution and legal contexts: evidence and the role of storylines

August 2021
Elisabeth A. Lloyd & Theodore G. Shepherd
Climatic Change
This article assesses the storyline approach to attribution and argues that the storyline approach aligns well with the concept of legal evidence. Read More →

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