Quantitative Attribution of Climate Effects on Hurricane Harvey’s Extreme Rainfall in Texas
This study suggests that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation of Hurricane Harvey. Read More →
Attribution of Extreme Rainfall from Hurricane Harvey
This report explores Hurricane Harvey, a positive trend in the intensity of extreme precipitation, global warming, and flood protection in Houston. Read More →
Anthropogenic Enhancement of Moderate-to-Strong El Niño Events Likely Contributed to Drought and Poor Harvests in Southern Africa During 2016
A 40-member CESM LE ensemble indicates that climate change likely increased the intensity of the 2015/16 El Niño, contributing to further decreases in SA precipitation, crop production and food availability.Read More →
IPCC Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5 ºC
This IPCC special report explores the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. Read More →
Anthropogenic Forcings and Attributed Changes in Fire Risk in Western North America and Australia During 2015/16
This study finds that for 2015/16 that human influences quintupled the risk of extreme vapor pressure deficits (VPD) for western North America and increased the risk for extratropical Australia. Read More →
Attribution of wintertime anticyclonic stagnation contributing to air pollution in Western Europe
Climate simulations suggest a potential increase in frequency of stagnant wintertime conditions that prevailed over northwestern Europe in December 2016: it is significant in one multimodel ensemble but not in two single-model ensembles.Read More →
Extreme Rainfall (R20mm, RX5day) in Yangtze–Huai, China, in June–July 2016: The Role of ENSO and Anthropogenic Climate Change
Both the 2015/16 strong El Niño and anthropogenic factors contributed to the June–July 2016 extreme precipitation (R20mm, RX5day) in Yangtze–Huai, China. Combined, they increased the risk of the event tenfold.Read More →
A Multifactor Risk Analysis of the Record 2016 Great Barrier Reef Bleaching
Anthropogenic greenhouse gases likely increased the risk of the extreme Great Barrier Reef bleaching event through anomalously high sea surface temperature and the accumulation of thermal stress.Read More →
Ecological Impacts of the 2015/16 El Niño in the Central Equatorial Pacific
Coral reef and seabird communities in the central equatorial Pacific were disrupted by record-setting sea surface temperatures, linked to an anthropogenically forced trend, during the 2015/16 El Niño.Read More →
Attribution of the July 2016 Extreme Precipitation Event Over China’s Wuhang
Human-induced warming and El Niño may have substantially increased the probability of the occurrence of such events as the July 2016 extreme precipitation over China’s Wuhan.Read More →