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Climate Change Attribution


Cross-cutting Research

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Causes of the Extreme Dry Conditions Over California During Early 2013

September 2014
Hailan Wang, Siegfried Schubert
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The 2013 SST anomalies produced a predilection for California drought, whereas the longterm warming trend appears to make no appreciable contribution because of the counteraction between its dynamical and thermodynamic effects. Read More →

Beyond Climatological Extremes— Assessing how the Odds of Hydrometeorological Extreme Events in South-East Europe Change in a Warming Climate

June 2014
Sebastian Sippel, F E. L. Otto
SpringerLink
This study describes the methodology of probabilistic event attribution to evaluate occurrence probabilities of extreme weather events, and estimates the hazard probabilities of those events in South-East Europe. Read More →

Working Group III Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

April 2014
Ottmar Edenhofer, Ramón Pichs-Madruga, Youba Sokona, Jan C. Minx, Ellie Farahani, Susanne Kadner, Kristin Seyboth, Anna Adler, Ina Baum, Steffen Brunner, Patrick Eickemeier, Benjamin Kriemann, Jussi Savolainen, Steffen Schlömer, Christoph von Stechow, Timm Zwickel
Cambridge University Press
This report presents an assessment climate change mitigation options, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions and reducing their concentrations in the atmosphere. Read More →

Detection and Attribution of Observed Impacts

January 2014
Wolfgang Cramer, Gary W. Yohe, Maximilian Auffhammer, Christian Huggel, Ulf Molau, Maria Assunção Faus da Silva Dias, Andrew Solow, Dáithí A. Stone, Lourdes Tibig
Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability
This chapter synthesizes the scientific literature on the detection and attribution of observed changes in natural and human systems in response to observed recent climate change.Read More →

Northeast Colorado Extreme Rains Interpreted in a Climate Change Context

December 2013
Martin Hoerling, Klaus Wolter, Judith Perlwitz, Xiaowei Quan, Jon Eischeid, Hailan Wang, Siegfried Schubert, Henry Diaz, Randall Dole
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This article suggests that the probability for an extreme five-day September rainfall event over northeast Colorado, as was observed in early September 2013, has likely decreased due to climate change. Read More →

Attributing Mortality from Extreme Temperatures to Climate Change in Stockholm, Sweden

October 2013
Daniel Oudin Åström, Bertil Forsberg, Kristie L. Ebi, Joacim Rocklöv
Nature Climate Change
This study seeks to understand the extent to which mortality due to temperature extremes in Stockholm, Sweden during 1980– 2009 can be attributed to climate change that has occurred since their reference period (1900–1929). Read More →

The Challenge to Detect and Attribute Effects of Climate Change on Human and Natural Systems

August 2013
Dáithí Stone, Maximilian Auffhammer, Mark Carey, Gerrit Hansen, Christian Huggel, Wolfgang Cramer, David Lobell, Ulf Molau, Andrew Solow, Lourdes Tibig, Gary Yohe
Climatic Change
This paper describes the current conceptual framework of detection and attribution and outlines a number of conceptual challenges.Read More →

The Impact of Powder River Basin Coal Exports on Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions

May 2013
Thomas Michael Power, Donovan S. Power
The Energy Foundation
This report details and responds to the arguments that there will be no net increase in global GHG emissions as a result of the expansion of PRB coal mining and the construction of rail and port infrastructure on the West Coast.Read More →

Shifts in the Seasonal Distribution of Deaths in Australia, 1968–2007

April 2013
Charmian M. Bennett, Keith B. G. Dear, Anthony J. McMichael
International Journal of Biometeorology
This study examines the ratio of summer to winter deaths in Australia with a background of rising average annual temperature over four decades, and finds that change has been driven more by reduced winter mortality than by increased summer mortality.Read More →

Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change Impacts

March 2013
Cynthia Rosenzweig, and Peter Neofotis
WIREs Climate Change
This paper argues that the expansion of methods of detection is key to discerning the climate sensitivities of sectors and systems in regions where the impacts of climate change currently remain elusive. Read More →

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