Climate Attribution

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Storyline-Based Climate Attribution Reveals Strong Intensification of 2018–2022 Multi-Year Droughts in Europe

March 2026
Ray Kettaren, Antonio Sánchez-Benítez, Helge Goessling, Marylou Athanase, Rohini Kumar, Luis Samaniego, Oldrich Rakovec
Earth's Future
This peer-reviewed study evaluated the 2018-2022 European drought by applying a storyline attribution framework, finding that higher warming levels intensify the severity and geographic scope of droughts.Read More →

Human-induced climate change compounded by socio-economic water stressors increased severity of drought in Syria, Iraq and Iran

November 2023
Friederike E. L. Otto, Ben Clarke, Mohammad Rahimi, Mariam Zachariah, Clair Barnes, Joyce Kimutai, Simphiwe Stewart, Maja Vahlberg, Abhinav Banthiya, Rana El Hajj
Grantham Institute for Climate Change
In this event study, the authors combine observations-based data products and climate models to assess the impact of climate change on a three-year drought across Iran, Iraq, and Syria.Read More →

Soil heat extremes can outpace air temperature extremes

September 2023
Almudena García-García, Francisco José Cuesta-Valero, Diego G. Miralles, Miguel D. Mahecha, Johannes Quaas, Markus Reichstein, Jakob Zscheischler & Jian Peng
Nature Climate Change
This peer-reviewed study finds that extreme soil temperatures in Central Europe have increased faster than extreme air temperatures, and identifies soil temperature as a key factor in the soil moisture-temperature feedback cycle. Read More →

A global transition to flash droughts under climate change

April 2023
Xing Yuan, Yumiao Wang, Peng Ji, Peili Wu, Justin Sheffield, Jason A. Otkin
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study shows that drought intensification rates have sped up over the past 64 years, and that this pattern of "flash droughts" is projected to expand to most land areas, with larger increases under higher-emission scenarios.Read More →

Synthesis Report of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report

March 2023
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
This Synthesis Report summarizes the state of knowledge of climate change, its widespread impacts and risks, and climate change mitigation and adaptation, based on the peer-reviewed scientific, technical and socio-economic literature since 2014.Read More →