Climate Attribution

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Marine Heatwaves Under Global Warming

August 2018
Thomas L. Frölicher, Erich M. Fischer, Nicolas Gruber
Nature
This report argues that marine heat waves (MHWs) are becoming longer-lasting and more frequent, extensive and intense in the past few decades, and that this trend will accelerate under further global warming.Read More →

Extinction risks forced by climatic change and intraspecific variation in the thermal physiology of a tropical lizard

April 2018
Emerson Pontes-da-Silva, William E. Magnuson, Barry Sinervo, Gabriel H. Caetano, Donald B. Miles, Guarino R. Colli, Luisa M. Diele-Viegas, Jessica Fenker, Juan C. Santos, Fernanda P. Werneck
Journal of Thermal Biology
The study's results support the hypothesis that tropical-lizard taxa are at high risk of local extinction caused by increasing temperatures.Read More →

Ecological Impacts of the 2015/16 El Niño in the Central Equatorial Pacific

January 2018
Russell E. Brainard, Thomas Oliver, Michael J. McPhaden, Anne Cohen, Roberto Venegas, Adel Heenan, Bernardo Vargas-Ángel, Randi Rotjan, Sangeeta Mangubhai, Elizabeth Flint, Susan A. Hunter
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Coral reef and seabird communities in the central equatorial Pacific were disrupted by record-setting sea surface temperatures, linked to an anthropogenically forced trend, during the 2015/16 El Niño.Read More →

Anthropogenic Enhancement of Moderate-to-Strong El Niño Events Likely Contributed to Drought and Poor Harvests in Southern Africa During 2016

January 2018
Chris Funk, Frank Davenport, Laura Harrison, Tamuka Magadzire, Gideon Galu, Guleid A. Artan, Shraddhanand Shukla, Diriba Korecha, Matayo Indeje, Catherine Pomposi, Denis Macharia, Gregory Husak, Faka Dieudonne Nsadisa
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
A 40-member CESM LE ensemble indicates that climate change likely increased the intensity of the 2015/16 El Niño, contributing to further decreases in SA precipitation, crop production and food availability.Read More →

2017 Montana Climate Assessment

September 2017
Cathy Whitlock, Wyatt F. Cross, Bruce Maxwell, Nick Silverman, and Alisa A. Wade
Montana Climate Assessment
This assessment reports on climate trends and their consequences for three of Montana’s vital sectors: water, forests, and agriculture.Read More →

Climate variation drives dengue dynamics

December 2016
Lei Xu, Leif C. Stige, Kung-Sik Chan, Jie Zhou, Jun Yang, Shaowei Sang, Ming Wang, Zhicong Yang, Ziqiang Yan, Tong Jiang, Liang Lu, Yujuan Yue, Xiaobo Liu, Hualiang Lin, Jianguo Xu, Qiyong Liu, and Nils Stenseth
Proceedings of the National Academies of the Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses temperature, precipitation, and disease incidence data to demonstrate that the disease dengue is becoming more prevalent as rising temperatures and increased precipitation increase the population of mosquitos in China.Read More →

New England Cod Collapse and the Climate

July 2016
Kyle C. Meng, Kimberly L. Oremus, Steven D. Gaines
PLOS ONE
This study finds that 17% of the overall decline in Gulf of Maine cod biomass since 1980 can be attributed to positive phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), suggesting the role of natural and anthropogenic climatic variation.Read More →