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Extreme Event Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human-induced changes in the global climate system affect the probability, severity, and other characteristics of extreme events such as hurricanes and heat waves.

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Feedback attribution to dry heatwaves over East Asia

March 2021
Ye-Won Seo, Kyung-Ja Ha, Tae-Won Park
IOP
This study provides a better understanding of combined extreme climate events in the context of radiative and dynamic feedback processes.Read More →

Change in the Occurrence Frequency of Landfalling and Non-Landfalling Tropical Cyclones over the Northwest Pacific

March 2021
Mingzhong Xiao
American Meteorological Society
Results indicate that the super Tropical Cyclones have been more likely to make landfall in the northwest Pacific since 1980.Read More →

Spatial and temporal changes in climate extremes over northwestern North America: the influence of internal climate variability and external forcing

March 2021
Mohammad Hasan Mahmoudi, Mohammad Reza Najafi, Harsimrenjit Singh, Markus Schnorbus
Springer
This study contains an assessment of the impacts of climate change on extreme temperature and precipitation over the Columbia, Fraser, Peace and Campbell River basins in northwestern North America.Read More →

Increased outburst flood hazard from Lake Palcacocha due to human-induced glacier retreat

February 2021
R. F. Stuart-Smith, G. H. Roe, S. Li & M. R. Allen
Nature Geoscience
The retreat of Palcaraju glacier cannot be explained by natural variability alone, as human-induced warming equals between 85 and 105% (5–95% confidence interval) of the observed 1 °C warming in this region.Read More →

Extreme Climate and Absence from Work: Evidence from Jamaica

January 2021
Nekeisha Spencer, Mikhail-Ann Urquhart
Springer
This study investigated the impact of extreme climate events on work absence in Jamaica.Read More →

An Initialized Attribution Method for Extreme Events on Subseasonal to Seasonal Time Scales

January 2021
Guomin Wang, Pandora Hope, Eun-Pa Lim, Harry H. Hendon, Julie M Arblaster
American-Meteorological Society
This paper describes a method to attribute extreme weather and climate events to observed increases in atmospheric CO2 using an initialized subseasonal to seasonal coupled global climate prediction system.Read More →

Changes in annual extreme temperature and heat indices in Limpopo province: period 1941–2016

January 2021
Mohau J. Mateyisi, Malebajoa A. Maoela, Amukelani Maluleke, Mokhele E. Moeletsi, Graham von Maltitz
Springer
Statistically significant warming trends at 5 of 10 climate stations within the Limpopo province in South Africa were observed from 1941-2016.Read More →

Potential linkages of extreme climate events with vegetation and large-scale circulation indices in an endorheic river basin in northwest China

January 2021
Qingping Cheng, Fanglei Zhong, Ping Wang
Elsevier
Extreme climate indices were significantly correlated with vegetation types and large-scale circulation indices in the HRB.Read More →

A Global, Continental, and Regional Analysis of Changes in Extreme Precipitation

December 2020
Qiaohong Sun, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Seth Westra, Lisa V. Alexander
American Meteorological Society
This paper provides an updated analysis of observed changes in extreme precipitation using high-quality station data up to 2018.Read More →

Combined Impacts of Warm Central Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and Anthropogenic Warming on the 2019 Severe Drought in East China

October 2020
Shuangmei Ma, Congwen Zhu, Juan Liu
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
Warm central equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature and anthropogenic warming were possibly responsible for the severe drought that occurred in East China from August to October 2019. Read More →

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