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Extreme Event Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human-induced changes in the global climate system affect the probability, severity, and other characteristics of extreme events such as hurricanes and heat waves.

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Extreme heat and stock market activity

September 2020
Jonathan Peillex, Imane El Ouadghiri, Mathieu Gomes, Jamil Jaballah
Elsevier
Empirical analyses show that, on average, trading volumes fall significantly (between 4% and 10%) when maximum daily temperatures exceed 30 °C (86 °F).Read More →

Press Release: 16 Million Children Affected by Massive Flooding in South Asia, with Millions More at Risk

September 2020
United Nations International Children's Fund
United Nations International Children's Fund (UNICEF)
This article describes how monsoon rains and catastrophic flooding in Nepal, India, and Bangladesh left 16 million children and their families were in urgent need of life-saving support. Read More →

Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe

August 2020
Robert Vautard, Maarten van Aalst, Olivier Boucher, Agathe Drouin, Karsten Haustein, Frank Kreienkamp, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E L Otto, Aur´elien Ribes, Yoann Robin, Michel Schneider, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Peter Stott, Sonia I Seneviratne, Martha M Vogel, Michael Wehner
Environmental Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study examined two extreme heatwaves in Western Europe in 2019, finding that their frequency and intensity were influenced by climate change.Read More →

World Weather Attribution Project

July 2020
World Weather Attribution
World Weather Attribution
The World Weather Attribution (WWA) Project is an international effort to analyze and communicate the possible influence of climate change on extreme weather events, such as storms, extreme rainfall, heatwaves, cold spells, and droughts.Read More →

State of the Climate: National Climate Report

July 2020
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
This report provides a comprehensive overview of the climate in the United States by month, including data on precipitation, drought, and temperature and how it compares to national averages. Read More →

Increasing trends in regional heatwaves

July 2020
S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. C. Lewis
Nature
Trends in heatwave frequency, duration and cumulative heat have accelerated since the 1950s.Read More →

Extreme Runoff Generation From Atmospheric River Driven Snowmelt During the 2017 Oroville Dam Spillways Incident

June 2020
Brian Henn, Keith N. Musselman, Leanne Lestak , F. Martin Ralph, Noah P. Molotch
American Geophysical Union
This study suggests that unusually warm temperatures during winter atmospheric river storms in the Western United States are associated with flood risk due to substantial rainfall and snowmelt. Read More →

Human influence has intensified extreme precipitation in North America

June 2020
Megan C. Kirchmeier-Young, Xuebin Zhang
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This study finds robust results for anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation at continental scales.Read More →

Verification of extreme event attribution: Using out-of-sample observations to assess changes in probabilities of unprecedented events

March 2020
Noah S. Diffenbaugh
American Association for the Advancement of Science
This study presents a framework for independent verification of anthropogenic influence on specific extreme climate events.Read More →

Forecasted attribution of the human influence on Hurricane Florence

January 2020
K. A Reed, A. M. Stansfield, M. F. Wehner, C. M. Zarzycki
Science Advances
Advance forecasted conditional attribution statements, using a numerical model, were made about the anthropogenic climate change influence on an individual tropical cyclone, Hurricane Florence.Read More →

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