Climate Attribution

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The Decade of Attribution Science

December 2019
Jane C. Hu
Slate
This article provides an introduction to attribution science, exploring how climate change's role in extreme weather events and how the new field is shaping policy and litigation attempting to deal with climate change.Read More →

Limiting global warming to 1.5º C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

November 2019
Hideo Shiogama, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Daisuke Murakami, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Katsumasa Tanaka, Seita Emori, Izumi Kubota, Manabu Abe, Yukiko Imada, Masahiro Watanabe, Daniel Mitchell, Nathalie Schaller, Jana Sillmann, Erich Fischer, John Scinocca, Ingo Bethke, Ludwig Lierhammer, Jun'ya Takakura, Tim Trautmann, Petra Döll, Sebastian Ostberg, Hannes Schmeid, Fahad Saeed, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Environmental Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling and socioeconomic indexes to predict the impact of extreme events under 1.5º C and 2º C of warming, especially their impact on least developed countries.Read More →

Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment Part I: Detection and Attribution

October 2019
Thomas Knutson, Suzana J. Camargo, Johnny C. L. Chan, Kerry Emanuel, Chang-Hoi Ho, James Kossin, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Masaki Satoh, Masato Sugi, Kevin Walsh, Liguang Wu
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This paper reviews the detection and attribution of changes in tropical cyclone activity due to climate change. It examines how developments in science have advanced understanding of tropical cyclone activity under changing climatic conditions. Read More →

Recent increase in catastrophic tropical cyclone flooding in coastal North Carolina, USA: Long-term observations suggest a regime shift

July 2019
Hans W. Paerl, Nathan S. Hall, Alexandria G. Hounshell, Richard A. Luettich Jr., Karen L. Rossignol, Christopher L. Osburn, Jerad Bales
Nature
Examination of continuous rainfall records for coastal NC since 1898 reveals a trend toward increasingly high precipitation associated with tropical cyclones over the last 120 yearsRead More →

Twentieth-Century Hydroclimate Changes Consistent with Human Influence

May 2019
Kate Marvel, Benjamin I. Cook, Céline J. W. Bonfils, Paul J. Durack, Jason E. Smerdon, A. Park Williams
Nature
This study reconstructs the Palmer drought severity index obtained with data from tree rings, demonstrating that human activities were probably affecting the worldwide risk of droughts as early as the beginning of the twentieth century. Read More →

The Role of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Climate Change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea Marine Heatwave

February 2019
S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, A. D. King; E. A. Cougnon, N. J. Holbrook, M. R. Grose, E. C. J. Oliver, S. C. Lewis, F. Pourasghar
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes the record sea surface temperatures during the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave and how climate models indicate that they were virtually impossible without anthropogenic influence. Read More →