Climate Attribution

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The High Latitude Marine Heat Wave of 2016 and Its Impacts on Alaska

March 2018
John E. Walsh, Richard L. Thoman, Uma S. Bhatt, Peter A. Bieniek, Brian Brettschneider, Michael Brubaker, Seth Danielson, Rick Lader, Florence Fetterer, Kris Holderied Katrin Iken, Andy Mahoney, Molly McCammon, James Partain
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the 2016 Alaska marine heat wave was unprecedented in terms of sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, and how CMIP5 data suggest human-induced climate change has greatly increased the risk of such anomalies.Read More →

Climate Change Increased the Likelihood of the 2016 Heat Extremes in Asia

March 2018
Yukiko Imada, Hideo Shiogama, Chiharu Takahashi, Masahiro Watanabe, Masato Mori, Youichi Kamae, Shuhei Maeda
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the 2016 extreme warmth across Asia would not have been possible without climate change, and how the 2015/16 El Niño also contributed to regional warm extremes over Southeast Asia and the Maritime Continent.Read More →

Introduction to Explaining Extreme Events of 2016 From a Climate Perspective

March 2018
Stephanie C. Herring, Nikolaos Christidis, Andrew Hoell, James P. Kossin, Carl J. Schreck, III, Peter A. Stott
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This 2016 BAMS report explains extreme events in 2016 from a climate perspective and is the first BAMS report to find that some extreme events were not possible in a preindustrial climate.Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Rainfall from Hurricane Harvey

January 2018
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Karin van der Wiel, Antonia Sebastian, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Friederike Otto, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, Gabriel Vecchi, Heidi Cullen
Environmental Research Letters
This report explores Hurricane Harvey, a positive trend in the intensity of extreme precipitation, global warming, and flood protection in Houston. Read More →

A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

January 2018
Eduardo S. P. R. Martins, Caio A. S. Coelho, Rein Haarsma, Friederike E. L. Otto, Andrew D. King, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Sarah Kew, Sjoukje Philip, Francisco C. Vasconcelos Júnior, Heidi Cullen
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using multiple methods, the article could not find sufficient evidence that anthropogenic climate change increased drought risk.Read More →