Climate Attribution

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Forest fire threatens global carbon sinks and population centres under rising atmospheric water demand

November 2022
Hamish Clarke, Rachael H. Nolan, Victor Resco De Dios, Ross Bradstock, Anne Griebel, Shiva Khanal & Matthias M. Boer
Nature Communications
This study finds that climate change is projected to lead to widespread increases in fire risk, with at least 30 additional days above critical thresholds for fire activity in forest biomes on every continent by 2100 under rising emissions scenarios.Read More →

Climate Change Made 2022 Northern Hemisphere Droughts More Likely

October 2022
Dominik L. Schumacher, Mariam Zachariah, Friederike Otto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Dorothy Heinrich, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Mathias Hauser, Martin Hirschi, Lukas Gudmundsson, Hiroko K. Beaudoing, Matthew Rodell, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Robert Vautard, Luke J. Harrington, Sonia I. Seneviratne
Worldwide Weather Attribution
This event attribution study analyzes the impact of climate change on droughts across the non-tropical Northern Hemisphere, with a particular focus on West-Central Europe. Read More →

Climate change likely increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan

September 2022
Friederike E. L. Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Fahad Saeed, Ayesha Siddiqi, Kamil Shahzad, Haris Mushtaq, Arulalan T, Krishna AchutaRao, Chaithra S, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Piotr Wolski, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Luke J. Harrington, Ben Clarke
Worldwide Weather Attribution
Between June and August of 2022, rains flooding in Pakistan affected over 33 million people, destroyed 1.7 million homes, and killed nearly 1500 people. This event attribution study analyzes the impact of climate change on this extreme rainfall.Read More →

Earlier onset of North Atlantic hurricane season with warming oceans

August 2022
Ryan E. Truchelut, Philip J. Klotzbach, Erica M. Staehling, Kimberly M. Wood, Daniel J. Halperin, Carl J. Schreck III & Eric S. Blake
Nature Communications
This study shows a significant trend towards earlier onset of tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin associated with warming oceans. Read More →

Without human-caused climate change temperatures of 40oC in the UK would have been extremely unlikely

July 2022
Mariam Zachariah, Robert Vautard, Dominik L. Schumacher, Maja Vahlberg, Dorothy Heinrich, Emmanuel Raju, Lisa Thalheimer, Julie Arrighi, Roop Singh, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Simon F. B. Tett, Luke J. Harrington, Piotr Wolski, Fraser C. Lott, Mark McCarthy, Jordis S. Tradowsky, Friederike E. L. Otto
World Weather Attribution
This study finds that human-caused climate change made the UK 2022 heat wave at least 10 times more likely.Read More →