The Attribution Question
This article explores how understanding the changing risks of extreme events in a warming world requires both a thermodynamic perspective and an understanding of changes in atmospheric circulation.Read More →
A Review of Recent Advances in Research on Extreme Heat Events
This article reviews recent literature and reports that changes in extreme heat event characteristics such as magnitude, frequency, and duration are highly sensitive to changes in mean global-scale warming. Read More →
Attributing Human Mortality During Extreme Heat Waves to Anthropogenic Climate Change
This study quantifies the role of human activity on climate and heat-related mortality in an event attribution framework, analyzing both the Europe-wide temperature response in 2003, and localized responses over London and Paris.Read More →
Attributing Human Mortality during Extreme Heat Waves to Anthropogenic Climate Change
This paper explicitly quantify the role of human activity on climate and heat-related mortality in an event attribution framework, analyzing both the Europe-wide temperature response in 2003, and localized responses over London and Paris.Read More →
Extreme Fall 2014 Precipitation in the Cévennes Mountains
This study investigates trends in the fall seasonal maximum of daily precipitation in the Cévennes mountain range, where the highest daily precipitation amount is found in France in the fall. Read More →
A Common Framework for Approaches to Extreme Event Attribution
This article argues that a risk-based approach and storyline approach to extreme event attribution should be viewed within a common framework, where the most useful level of conditioning will depend on the questions and uncertainties involved.Read More →
This peer-reviewed study examined the effect of anthropogenic warming on precipitation in southern England and contribution to severe flooding and economic damages.Read More →
Detection and Attribution of Climate Extremes in the Observed Record
This article provides an overview of the practices and challenges related to the detection and attribution of observed changes in climate extremes.Read More →
Causal Counterfactual Theory for the Attribution of Weather and Climate-Related Events
This article gives an overview of the main concepts underpinning the causal theory and proposes methodological extensions for the causal attribution of weather and climate-related events. Read More →
Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change
This report examines the science of attribution of specific extreme weather events to human-caused climate change and natural variability by reviewing current understanding and capabilities. Read More →