Extreme Event Attribution Archives - Page 22 of 25

The Role of the Selection Problem and Non-Gaussianity in Attribution of Single Events to Climate Change

Published:December 2015

Author(s):Bo Christiansen

Publisher:Journal of Climate

This study explores the methodological issues connected to the selection problem and deviations from Gaussianity that should be considered before comprehensive climate models are invoked.Read More →

Climate Change Increases the Probability of Heavy Rains Like Those of Storm Desmond in the UK—An Event Attribution Study in Near-Real Time

Published:December 2015

Author(s):G. J. van Oldenborgh, F. E. L. Otto, K. Haustein, H. Cullen

Publisher:Hydrology and Earth Systems Sciences

This study finds that anthropogenic climate change makes one-day precipitation events averaged over an area encompassing northern England and southern Scotland about 40% more likely.Read More →

Attribution of extreme weather and climate‐related events

Published:December 2015

Author(s):Peter A. Stott, Nikolaos Christidis, Friederike E. L. Otto, Ying Sun, Jean‐Paul Vanderlinden, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Robert Vautard, Hans von Storch, Peter Walton, Pascal Yiou, Francis W. Zwiers

Publisher:Wiley

This article provides an overview of event attribution assessments and how they are developed. Read More →

Evidence for Added Value of Convection-Permitting Models for Studying Changes in Extreme Precipitation

Published:December 2015

Author(s):Edmund P. Meredith, Douglas Maraun, Vladimir A. Semenov, Wonsun Park

Publisher:JGR Atmospheres

This study explore the added value of convection‐permitting models by comparing the response of the extreme precipitation to a wide range of SST forcings in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations using parametrized and explicit convection.Read More →

The 2014 Drought in the Horn of Africa: Attribution of Meteorological Drivers

Published:December 2015

Author(s):T. R. Marthews, F. E. L. Otto, D. Mitchell, S. J. Dadson, R. G. Jones

Publisher:Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Ensemble modeling of the East African 2014 long rains season suggests no anthropogenic influence on the likelihood of low rainfall but clear signals in other drivers of drought.Read More →

Anomalous Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific in August 2014

Published:December 2015

Author(s):Lei Yang, Xin Wang, Ke Huang, Dongxiao Wang

Publisher:Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

The absence of western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity during August 2014 was apparently related to strong easterly wind anomalies induced by combined negative intraseasonal and Pacific decadal oscillation phases.Read More →

Hurricane Gonzalo and Its Extratropical Transition to a Strong European Storm

Published:December 2015

Author(s):Frauke Feser, Monika Barcikowska, Susanne Haeseler, Christiana Lefebvre, Martina SchubertFrisius, Martin Stendel, Hans von Storch, Matthias Zahn

Publisher:Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

After transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical storm, Gonzalo tracked unusually far, achieving exceptional strength over Europe; however, it was within the historical range of such transforming storms.Read More →

The Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Simulated Climate Extremes

Published:September 2015

Author(s):Andrew D King, Markus G Donat, Erich M Fischer, Ed Hawkins, Lisa V Alexander, David J Karoly, Andrea J Dittus, Sophie C Lewis, Sarah E Perkins

Publisher:Environmental Research Letters

This study uses climate models to demonstrate that temperature extremes generally emerge slightly later from their quasi-natural climate state than seasonal means.Read More →

Climate Justice and the Application of Probabilistic Event Attribution to Summer Heat Extremes in the California Central Valley

Published:August 2015

Author(s):Roberto Mera, Neil Massey, David E. Rupp, Philip Mote, Myles Allen, Peter C. Frumhoff

Publisher:SpringerLink

This study applies probabilistic event attribution (PEA) to explore the climate attribution of recent extreme heat events in California's Central Valley. Read More →

Crucial Role of Black Sea Warming in Amplifying the 2012 Krymsk Precipitation Extreme

Published:July 2015

Author(s):Edmund P. Meredith, Vladimir A. Semenov, Douglas Maraun, Wonsun Park, Alexander V. Chernokulsky

Publisher:Nature Geoscience

This study examines the effect of sea surface temperature (SST) increase on convective extremes within the region, taking the Krymsk event as a showcase example. Read More →

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