Climate Attribution

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Attributing Weather Extremes to ‘Climate Change’: A Review

June 2014
Mike Hulme
Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment
This report surveys the science of extreme weather event attribution by examining the field in four stages: motivations for extreme weather attribution, methods of attribution, some example case studies and the politics of weather event attribution.Read More →

Working Group III Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

April 2014
Ottmar Edenhofer, Ramón Pichs-Madruga, Youba Sokona, Jan C. Minx, Ellie Farahani, Susanne Kadner, Kristin Seyboth, Anna Adler, Ina Baum, Steffen Brunner, Patrick Eickemeier, Benjamin Kriemann, Jussi Savolainen, Steffen Schlömer, Christoph von Stechow, Timm Zwickel
Cambridge University Press
This report presents an assessment climate change mitigation options, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions and reducing their concentrations in the atmosphere. Read More →

IPCC AR5 WGII Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability

January 2014
Christopher B. Field, Vicente R. Barros, Michael D. Mastrandrea, Katharine J. Mach, Mohamed A.-K. Abdrabo,W. Neil Adger, Yury A. Anokhin, Oleg A. Anisimov, Douglas J. Arent, Jonathon Barnett, Virginia R. Burkett, Rongshuo Cai, Monalisa Chatterjee, Stewart J. Cohen,Wolfgang Cramer, Purnamita Dasgupta, Debra J. Davidson, Fatima Denton, Petra Döll, Kirstin Dow, Yasuaki Hijioka , Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, Richard G. Jones, Roger N. Jones, Roger L. Kitching , R. Sari Kovats, Joan Nymand Larsen, Erda Lin, David B. Lobell, Iñigo J. Losada, Graciela O. Magrin, José A. Marengo, Anil Markandya, Bruce A. McCarl, Roger F. McLean, Linda O. Mearns, Guy F. Midgley, Nobuo Mimura, John F. Morton , Isabelle Niang, Ian R. Noble, Leonard A. Nurse, Karen L. O’Brien, Taikan Oki , Lennart Olsson, Michael Oppenheimer, Jonathan T. Overpeck, Joy J. Pereira, Elvira S. Poloczanska, John R. Porter, Hans-O. Pörtner, Michael J. Prather, Roger S. Pulwarty, Andy Reisinger, Aromar Revi, Patricia Romero-Lankao, Oliver C. Ruppel, David E. Satterthwaite, Daniela N. Schmidt, Josef Settele, Kirk R. Smith, Dáithí A. Stone, Avelino G. Suarez, Petra Tschakert, Riccardo Valentini, Alicia Villamizar, Rachel Warren, Thomas J.Wilbanks, Poh Poh Wong, Alistair Woodward, Gary W. Yohe
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
This report considers climate change impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. It provides a comprehensive picture of the current state of knowledge and level of certainty, based on the available scientific, technical, and socio-economic literature.Read More →

Northeast Colorado Extreme Rains Interpreted in a Climate Change Context

December 2013
Martin Hoerling, Klaus Wolter, Judith Perlwitz, Xiaowei Quan, Jon Eischeid, Hailan Wang, Siegfried Schubert, Henry Diaz, Randall Dole
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This article suggests that the probability for an extreme five-day September rainfall event over northeast Colorado, as was observed in early September 2013, has likely decreased due to climate change. Read More →

Chinese Drought, Bread and the Arab Spring

May 2012
Troy Sternberg
Applied Geography
Potential crop failure due to drought led China to buy wheat on the international market and contributed to a doubling of global wheat prices, resulting in price spikes with economic impacts in Egypt, where bread prices tripled. Read More →

A Decade of Weather Extremes

March 2012
Dim Coumou, Stefan Rahmstorf
Nature Climate Change
This article reviews the evidence and argue that for some types of extreme--notably heatwaves, but also precipitation extremes--there is now strong evidence linking specific events or an increase in their numbers to the human influence on climate.Read More →

Increase of Extreme Events in a Warming World

November 2011
Stefan Rahmstorf, Dim Coumou
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
This study develops a theoretical approach to quantify the effect of long-term trends on the expected number of extremes, finding that climatic warming increases the number of extreme events and the number of new global-mean temperature records. Read More →