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Extreme Event Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how human-induced changes in the global climate system affect the probability, severity, and other characteristics of extreme events such as hurricanes and heat waves.

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Climate Change made devastating early heat in India and Pakistan 30 times more likely

May 2022
Mariam Zachariah, Arulalan T, Krishna AchutaRao, Fahad Saeed, Roshan Jha, Manish Kumar Dhasmana, Arpita Mondal, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Dorothy Heinrich, Lisa Thalheimer, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Aditi Kapoor, Maarten van Aalst, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Mathias Hauser, Dominik L. Schumacher, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Luke J. Harrington, Friederike E. L. Otto
World Weather Attribution
This study finds that the probability of the 2022 heat wave in India and Pakistan was made 30 times more likely due to climate change.Read More →

The role of human-induced climate change in heavy rainfall events such as the one associated with Typhoon Hagibis

May 2022
Sihan Li & Friederike E. L. Otto
Climatic Change
This study estimates that roughly $4 billion of the damages due to the extreme heavy rainfall associated with Typhoon Hagibis are due to human-induced climate change.Read More →

Climate change exacerbated rainfall causing devastating flooding in Eastern South Africa

May 2022
Izidine Pinto, Mariam Zachariah, Piotr Wolski, Stephanie Landman, Vanetia Phakula, Wisani Maluleke, Mary-Jane Bopape, Christien Engelbrecht, Christopher Jack, Alice McClure, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Dorothy Heinrich, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun , Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Jordis Tradowsky, Friederike E. L. Otto, Romeo Dipura
World Weather Attribution
This study assesses the role of climate change in flooding in Eastern South Africa.Read More →

Drought in Numbers 2022: Restoration for Readiness and Resilience

May 2022
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification
This report covers the impacts of drought on human society and world ecosystems, historical trends pertaining to drought, and various ways to combat drought globally.Read More →

Accelerating flash droughts induced by the joint influence of soil moisture depletion and atmospheric aridity

May 2022
Yamin Qing, Shuo Wang, Brian C. Ancell & Zong-Liang Yang
Nature Communications
This study assesses the rates and causes of flash floods.Read More →

The heatwave in North India and Pakistan in April-May 2022

May 2022
Nikolaos Christidis
Met Office
This study finds that the chances of a record-breaking heatwave in north-west India and Pakistan has been made over 100 times more likely because of climate change.Read More →

State of the Global Climate 2021

May 2022
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
The publication provides a summary on the state of the climate indicators in 2021.Read More →

Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall to human-induced climate change

April 2022
Kevin A. Reed, Michael F. Wehner & Colin M. Zarzycki
Nature Communications
This study quantifies the impact of human-induced climate change on the extreme 3-hourly storm rainfall rates and extreme 3-day accumulated rainfall amounts during the full 2020 hurricane season.Read More →

Climate change increased rainfall associated with tropical cyclones hitting highly vulnerable communities in Madagascar, Mozambique & Malawi

April 2022
Friederike E. L. Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Piotr Wolski, Izidine Pinto, Rondrotiana Barimalala, Bernardino Nhamtumbo, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Linh N. Luu, Dorothy Heinrich, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Luke J. Harrington
World Weather Attribution
This study analyses how human-induced climate change affected the 3-day average annual maximum rainfall in the regions worst hit by Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Cyclone Batsirai.Read More →

State of the Climate: New Jersey 2021

April 2022
James Shope, Anthony Broccoli, Brian Frei, Mathieu Gerbush, Jeanne Herb, Marjorie Kaplan, Erica Langer, Lucas Marxen, David Robinson
Rutgers
This report summarizes annually updated scientific information on climate trends and projections that can be used by state and local decision-makers, researchers, hazard planning and climate resilience professionals, and residents.Read More →

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