Climate Attribution

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Autumn and Winter storms over UK and Ireland are becoming wetter due to climate change

May 2024
Sarah F. Kew, Mark McCarthy, Ciara Ryan, Jennifer S.R. Pirret, Ellie Murtagh, Maja Vahlberg, Adwoa Amankona, James O. Pope, Fraser Lott, Oliver Claydon, Barry Coonan, Izidine Pinto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip
World Weather Attribution
This peer-reviewed event study assesses the extent to which human-induced climate change and the North Atlantic Oscillation influenced the average storm severity over the United Kingdom and Ireland from October 2023 to March 2024.Read More →

Extreme Sahel Heatwave that Hit Highly Vulnerable Population at the End of Ramadan Would Not Have Occurred Without Climate Change

April 2024
Clair Barnes, Friederike E. L. Otto, Ben Clarke, Izidine Pinto, Kiswendsida Guigma, Idrissa S. Savadogo, Boukary Dara, Dazangwende Emmanuel Poan, Gansané Adama, Tangessingnon Bakari Sankara, Guillaume Nakoulma, Souleymane Konate, Maja Vahlberg, Sajanika Sivanu, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi
Worldwide Weather Attribution
This real-time event attribution study combines climate models with observations of the March/April 2024 heat wave across North Africa and the Sahel to estimate the influence of human-caused climate change.Read More →

Climate Change Made the Extreme 2-Day Rainfall Event Associated with Flooding in Middleton, Ireland More Likely and More Intense

February 2024
Ben Clarke, Peter Thorne, Ciara Ryan, Mariam Zachariah, Conor Murphy, Gerard McCarthy, Paul O'Connor, Emannuel O. Eresanya, Niamh Cahill, Barry Coonan
Worldwide Weather Attribution
This real-time event attribution study examines extreme flooding in County Cork, Ireland, and finds that climate change since the industrial revolution has more than doubled the likelihood of such flooding events.Read More →

Human-induced climate change compounded by socio-economic water stressors increased severity of drought in Syria, Iraq and Iran

November 2023
Friederike E. L. Otto, Ben Clarke, Mohammad Rahimi, Mariam Zachariah, Clair Barnes, Joyce Kimutai, Simphiwe Stewart, Maja Vahlberg, Abhinav Banthiya, Rana El Hajj
Grantham Institute for Climate Change
In this event study, the authors combine observations-based data products and climate models to assess the impact of climate change on a three-year drought across Iran, Iraq, and Syria.Read More →

Exponential increases in high-temperature extremes in North America

November 2023
Ali Davariashtiyani, Mohsen Taherkhani, Seyyedfaridoddin Fattahpour, Sean Vitousek
Nature Scientific Reports
This peer-reviewed study investigates continuous shifts in the frequency of extreme high-temperature events due to projected local warming trends, and finds that the odds of passing 50-year extreme high-temperatures doubles every 20 years. Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Events to Climate Change

November 2023
Friederike E.L. Otto
Annual Review of Environment and Resources
This review focuses on extreme event attribution as a significant aspect of climate science, thereby informing policymakers and the public. It highlights ethical considerations and the need for more research in the Global South.Read More →