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Extreme Event Attribution


Extreme Heat

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Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes

September 2021
Wim Thiery, Stefan Lange, Joeri Rogelj, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Lukas Gudmundsson, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Marina Andrijevic, Katja Frieler, Kerry Emanuel, Tobias Geiger, David N. Bresch, Fang Zhao, Sven N. Willner, Matthias Büchner, Jan Volkholz, Nico Bauer, Jinfeng Chang, Philippe Ciais, Marie Dury, Louis François, Manolis Grillakis, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Thomas Hickler, Veronika Huber, Akihiko Ito, Jonas Jägermeyr, Nikolay Khabarov, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Wenfeng Liu, Wolfgang Lutz, Matthias Mengel, Christoph Müller, Sebastian Ostberg, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Tobias Stacke, Yoshihide Wada
Science
This study estimates that, under current climate pledges, children born in 2020 will experience a two- to sevenfold increase in extreme events, particularly heat waves, compared with people born in 1960.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Climate Impacts in Southern Africa During the 21st Century – African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy

September 2021
Robert Scholes, Francois Engelbrecht
Legal Document - African Climate Alliance v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy
This expert report, filed by plaintiffs in the case "African Climate Alliance et al. v. Minister of Mineral Resources & Energy," reviews the impact on Africa south of the 15th degree south parallel.Read More →

Feedback attribution to dry heatwaves over East Asia

March 2021
Ye-Won Seo, Kyung-Ja Ha, Tae-Won Park
IOP
This study provides a better understanding of combined extreme climate events in the context of radiative and dynamic feedback processes.Read More →

An Initialized Attribution Method for Extreme Events on Subseasonal to Seasonal Time Scales

January 2021
Guomin Wang, Pandora Hope, Eun-Pa Lim, Harry H. Hendon, Julie M Arblaster
American-Meteorological Society
This paper describes a method to attribute extreme weather and climate events to observed increases in atmospheric CO2 using an initialized subseasonal to seasonal coupled global climate prediction system.Read More →

Changes in annual extreme temperature and heat indices in Limpopo province: period 1941–2016

January 2021
Mohau J. Mateyisi, Malebajoa A. Maoela, Amukelani Maluleke, Mokhele E. Moeletsi, Graham von Maltitz
Springer
Statistically significant warming trends at 5 of 10 climate stations within the Limpopo province in South Africa were observed from 1941-2016.Read More →

Potential linkages of extreme climate events with vegetation and large-scale circulation indices in an endorheic river basin in northwest China

January 2021
Qingping Cheng, Fanglei Zhong, Ping Wang
Elsevier
Extreme climate indices were significantly correlated with vegetation types and large-scale circulation indices in the HRB.Read More →

Extreme heat and stock market activity

September 2020
Jonathan Peillex, Imane El Ouadghiri, Mathieu Gomes, Jamil Jaballah
Elsevier
Empirical analyses show that, on average, trading volumes fall significantly (between 4% and 10%) when maximum daily temperatures exceed 30 °C (86 °F).Read More →

Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe

August 2020
Robert Vautard, Maarten van Aalst, Olivier Boucher, Agathe Drouin, Karsten Haustein, Frank Kreienkamp, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Friederike E L Otto, Aur´elien Ribes, Yoann Robin, Michel Schneider, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Peter Stott, Sonia I Seneviratne, Martha M Vogel, Michael Wehner
Environmental Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study examined two extreme heatwaves in Western Europe in 2019, finding that their frequency and intensity were influenced by climate change.Read More →

Increasing trends in regional heatwaves

July 2020
S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. C. Lewis
Nature
Trends in heatwave frequency, duration and cumulative heat have accelerated since the 1950s.Read More →

Limiting global warming to 1.5º C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

November 2019
Hideo Shiogama, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Daisuke Murakami, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Katsumasa Tanaka, Seita Emori, Izumi Kubota, Manabu Abe, Yukiko Imada, Masahiro Watanabe, Daniel Mitchell, Nathalie Schaller, Jana Sillmann, Erich Fischer, John Scinocca, Ingo Bethke, Ludwig Lierhammer, Jun'ya Takakura, Tim Trautmann, Petra Döll, Sebastian Ostberg, Hannes Schmeid, Fahad Saeed, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Environmental Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling and socioeconomic indexes to predict the impact of extreme events under 1.5º C and 2º C of warming, especially their impact on least developed countries.Read More →

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