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Extreme Event Attribution


Extreme Heat

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Limiting global warming to 1.5º C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

November 2019
Hideo Shiogama, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Daisuke Murakami, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Katsumasa Tanaka, Seita Emori, Izumi Kubota, Manabu Abe, Yukiko Imada, Masahiro Watanabe, Daniel Mitchell, Nathalie Schaller, Jana Sillmann, Erich Fischer, John Scinocca, Ingo Bethke, Ludwig Lierhammer, Jun'ya Takakura, Tim Trautmann, Petra Döll, Sebastian Ostberg, Hannes Schmeid, Fahad Saeed, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Environmental Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling and socioeconomic indexes to predict the impact of extreme events under 1.5º C and 2º C of warming, especially their impact on least developed countries.Read More →

Detection of a Climate Change Signal in Extreme Heat, Heat Stress, and Cold in Europe From Observations

July 2019
Ruth Lorenz, Zélie Stalhandske, Erich M. Fischer
Geophysical Research Letters
This study connects climate change with increases in extreme heat and decreases in extreme cold across Europe.Read More →

Physical Understanding of Human-Induced Changes in U.S. Hot Droughts Using Equilibrium Climate Simulations

July 2019
Linyin Cheng, Martin Hoerling, Zhiyong Liu, Jon Eischeid
Journal of Climate
Summertime drought–heat-wave relationships have changed significantly over the southern and southwestern United States because of anthropogenic climate change since the late nineteenth century.Read More →

Concurrent 2018 Hot Extremes Across Northern Hemisphere Due to Human‐Induced Climate Change

June 2019
M. M. Vogel, J. Zscheischler, R. Wartenburger, D. Dee, S. I. Seneviratne
AGU
Results show the 2018 north hemispheric concurrent heat events were influenced by anthropogenic warming and further reveal that the average high-exposure area to concurrent warm and hot spells in the Northern Hemisphere will increase with warming.Read More →

The Role of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Climate Change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea Marine Heatwave

February 2019
S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, A. D. King; E. A. Cougnon, N. J. Holbrook, M. R. Grose, E. C. J. Oliver, S. C. Lewis, F. Pourasghar
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes the record sea surface temperatures during the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave and how climate models indicate that they were virtually impossible without anthropogenic influence. Read More →

Deadly Weather: The Human Cost of 2018’s Climate Disasters — Visual Guide

December 2018
Daniel Levitt, Peter Andringa, Frank Hulley-Jones, Lydia Smears, Jonathan Watts
The Guardian
This article describes the climate disasters that the world experienced in 2018 by month, including extreme temperatures in Europe, drought in Argentina, flooding in India, and hurricanes and wildfires in the United States.Read More →

Wildfires Rage Across Europe as Countries Battle Intense Heat Wave

July 2018
Melissa Etehad
Los Angeles Times
This article describes the heatwave in Europe in summer 2018, and its devastating effects as wildfires have scorched large swaths of land in dozens of countries.Read More →

Heat Records Fall in the Arctic as Fires Erupt in Sweden and Siberia

July 2018
Andrew Freedman
AXIOS
This article describes the devastating wildfires in Scandinavia and Siberia in summer 2018 due to an unprecedented heatwave that swept across the Arctic Circle.Read More →

Red-hot Planet: All-time heat Records Have Been Set All Over the World During the Past Week

July 2018
Jason Samenow
The Washington Post
This article describes the all-time record-setting heat wave in the Northern Hemisphere in summer 2018 and cautions that these heat records are consistent with the extremes scientists expect to see in a warming world. Read More →

Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ detection and attribution multi-model ensemble

June 2018
Michael Wehner, Dáithí Stone, Hideo Shiogama, Piotr Wolski, Andrew Ciavarella, Nikolaos Christidis, Harinarayan Krishnan
Elsevier
We find that most regions experience increases in the frequency and intensity of extremely hot three day periods due to anthropogenic climate change.Read More →

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