Climate Attribution

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Attributing Human Mortality During Extreme Heat Waves to Anthropogenic Climate Change

July 2016
Daniel Mitchell, Clare Heaviside, Sotiris Vardoulakis, Chris Huntingford, Giacomo Masato, Benoit P Guillod, Peter Frumhoff, Andy Bowery, David Wallom, Myles Allen
Environmental Research Letters
This study quantifies the role of human activity on climate and heat-related mortality in an event attribution framework, analyzing both the Europe-wide temperature response in 2003, and localized responses over London and Paris.Read More →

Attributing Human Mortality during Extreme Heat Waves to Anthropogenic Climate Change

July 2016
Daniel Mitchell, Clare Heaviside, Sotiris Vardoulakis, Chris Huntingford, Giacomo Masato, Benoit P. Guillod, Peter Frumhoff, Andy Bowery, David Wallom, and Myles Allen
Environmental Research Letters
This paper explicitly quantify the role of human activity on climate and heat-related mortality in an event attribution framework, analyzing both the Europe-wide temperature response in 2003, and localized responses over London and Paris.Read More →

The Timing of Anthropogenic Emergence in Simulated Climate Extremes

September 2015
Andrew D King, Markus G Donat, Erich M Fischer, Ed Hawkins, Lisa V Alexander, David J Karoly, Andrea J Dittus, Sophie C Lewis, Sarah E Perkins
Environmental Research Letters
This study uses climate models to demonstrate that temperature extremes generally emerge slightly later from their quasi-natural climate state than seasonal means.Read More →

Use of Models and Observations in Event Attribution

July 2015
Gabriele C Hegerl
Environmental Research Letters
This perspective to a paper studying extreme heat in Central England (King et al 2015 Environ. Res. Lett. 10 054002) underscores the importance of such research towards improving the reliability of event attribution results. Read More →

A Decade of Weather Extremes

March 2012
Dim Coumou, Stefan Rahmstorf
Nature Climate Change
This article reviews the evidence and argue that for some types of extreme--notably heatwaves, but also precipitation extremes--there is now strong evidence linking specific events or an increase in their numbers to the human influence on climate.Read More →

Increase of Extreme Events in a Warming World

November 2011
Stefan Rahmstorf, Dim Coumou
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
This study develops a theoretical approach to quantify the effect of long-term trends on the expected number of extremes, finding that climatic warming increases the number of extreme events and the number of new global-mean temperature records. Read More →