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Extreme Event Attribution


Extreme Rainfall

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Press Release: 16 Million Children Affected by Massive Flooding in South Asia, with Millions More at Risk

September 2020
United Nations International Children's Fund
United Nations International Children's Fund (UNICEF)
This article describes how monsoon rains and catastrophic flooding in Nepal, India, and Bangladesh left 16 million children and their families were in urgent need of life-saving support. Read More →

State of the Climate: National Climate Report

July 2020
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
This report provides a comprehensive overview of the climate in the United States by month, including data on precipitation, drought, and temperature and how it compares to national averages. Read More →

Deadly Weather: The Human Cost of 2018’s Climate Disasters — Visual Guide

December 2018
Daniel Levitt, Peter Andringa, Frank Hulley-Jones, Lydia Smears, Jonathan Watts
The Guardian
This article describes the climate disasters that the world experienced in 2018 by month, including extreme temperatures in Europe, drought in Argentina, flooding in India, and hurricanes and wildfires in the United States.Read More →

Hurricane Harvey Links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation

May 2018
Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Earth's Future
This article uses ocean and atmosphere observations to demonstrate links between increased upper ocean heat content due to global warming with the extreme rainfalls from recent hurricanes.Read More →

Quantitative Attribution of Climate Effects on Hurricane Harvey’s Extreme Rainfall in Texas

April 2018
S-Y Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, Robert R Gillies
Environmental Research Letters
This study suggests that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation of Hurricane Harvey. Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Rainfall from Hurricane Harvey

January 2018
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Karin van der Wiel, Antonia Sebastian, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Friederike Otto, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, Gabriel Vecchi, Heidi Cullen
Environmental Research Letters
This report explores Hurricane Harvey, a positive trend in the intensity of extreme precipitation, global warming, and flood protection in Houston. Read More →

Extreme Rainfall (R20mm, RX5day) in Yangtze–Huai, China, in June–July 2016: The Role of ENSO and Anthropogenic Climate Change

January 2018
Qiaohong Sun, Chiyuan Miao
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Both the 2015/16 strong El Niño and anthropogenic factors contributed to the June–July 2016 extreme precipitation (R20mm, RX5day) in Yangtze–Huai, China. Combined, they increased the risk of the event tenfold.Read More →

Future Changes in Event Attribution Methodologies

January 2018
Peter A. Stott, Nikos Christidis, Stephanie C. Herring, Andrew Hoell, James P. Kossin, Carl J. Schreck III
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This report covers a range of events, including rain storms, droughts, tropical storms, and wildfires, as well as heat waves. Read More →

Attribution of the July 2016 Extreme Precipitation Event Over China’s Wuhang

January 2018
Chunlüe Zhou, Kaicun Wang, Dan Qi
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Human-induced warming and El Niño may have substantially increased the probability of the occurrence of such events as the July 2016 extreme precipitation over China’s Wuhan.Read More →

Attributable Human-Induced Changes in the Likelihood and Magnitude of the Observed Extreme Precipitation During Hurricane Harvey

December 2017
Mark Risser, Michael Wehner
Geophysical Research Letters
This report analyzes observed precipitation to find that human-induced climate change likely increased the chances of the observed precipitation accumulations during Hurricane Harvey in the most affected areas of Houston. Read More →

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