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Extreme Event Attribution


Extreme Rainfall

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Assessment of Historic and Future Trends of Extreme Weather in Texas, 1900-2036

October 2021
John Nielsen-Gammon, Sara Holman, Austin Buley, Savannah Jorgensen
Texas A&M University Office of the Texas State Climatologist
This report analyzes historic observations of temperature, precipitation, and extreme weather in Texas and identifies ongoing and likely future trends out to the year 2036.Read More →

Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes

September 2021
Wim Thiery, Stefan Lange, Joeri Rogelj, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Lukas Gudmundsson, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Marina Andrijevic, Katja Frieler, Kerry Emanuel, Tobias Geiger, David N. Bresch, Fang Zhao, Sven N. Willner, Matthias Büchner, Jan Volkholz, Nico Bauer, Jinfeng Chang, Philippe Ciais, Marie Dury, Louis François, Manolis Grillakis, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Thomas Hickler, Veronika Huber, Akihiko Ito, Jonas Jägermeyr, Nikolay Khabarov, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Wenfeng Liu, Wolfgang Lutz, Matthias Mengel, Christoph Müller, Sebastian Ostberg, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Tobias Stacke, Yoshihide Wada
Science
This study estimates that, under current climate pledges, children born in 2020 will experience a two- to sevenfold increase in extreme events, particularly heat waves, compared with people born in 1960.Read More →

Anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation over global land areas seen in multiple observational datasets

July 2021
Gavin D. Madakumbura, Chad W. Thackeray, Jesse Norris, Naomi Goldenson & Alex Hall
Nature Communications
Climate change is rendering hurricanes, monsoons and other extreme events more destructive all over the world. Read More →

A Global, Continental, and Regional Analysis of Changes in Extreme Precipitation

December 2020
Qiaohong Sun, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Seth Westra, Lisa V. Alexander
American Meteorological Society
This paper provides an updated analysis of observed changes in extreme precipitation using high-quality station data up to 2018.Read More →

Press Release: 16 Million Children Affected by Massive Flooding in South Asia, with Millions More at Risk

September 2020
United Nations International Children's Fund
United Nations International Children's Fund (UNICEF)
This article describes how monsoon rains and catastrophic flooding in Nepal, India, and Bangladesh left 16 million children and their families were in urgent need of life-saving support. Read More →

State of the Climate: National Climate Report

July 2020
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
This report provides a comprehensive overview of the climate in the United States by month, including data on precipitation, drought, and temperature and how it compares to national averages. Read More →

Extreme Runoff Generation From Atmospheric River Driven Snowmelt During the 2017 Oroville Dam Spillways Incident

June 2020
Brian Henn, Keith N. Musselman, Leanne Lestak , F. Martin Ralph, Noah P. Molotch
American Geophysical Union
This study suggests that unusually warm temperatures during winter atmospheric river storms in the Western United States are associated with flood risk due to substantial rainfall and snowmelt. Read More →

Human influence has intensified extreme precipitation in North America

June 2020
Megan C. Kirchmeier-Young, Xuebin Zhang
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This study finds robust results for anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation at continental scales.Read More →

Limiting global warming to 1.5º C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

November 2019
Hideo Shiogama, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Daisuke Murakami, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Katsumasa Tanaka, Seita Emori, Izumi Kubota, Manabu Abe, Yukiko Imada, Masahiro Watanabe, Daniel Mitchell, Nathalie Schaller, Jana Sillmann, Erich Fischer, John Scinocca, Ingo Bethke, Ludwig Lierhammer, Jun'ya Takakura, Tim Trautmann, Petra Döll, Sebastian Ostberg, Hannes Schmeid, Fahad Saeed, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Environmental Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling and socioeconomic indexes to predict the impact of extreme events under 1.5º C and 2º C of warming, especially their impact on least developed countries.Read More →

Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment Part I: Detection and Attribution

October 2019
Thomas Knutson, Suzana J. Camargo, Johnny C. L. Chan, Kerry Emanuel, Chang-Hoi Ho, James Kossin, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Masaki Satoh, Masato Sugi, Kevin Walsh, Liguang Wu
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This paper reviews the detection and attribution of changes in tropical cyclone activity due to climate change. It examines how developments in science have advanced understanding of tropical cyclone activity under changing climatic conditions. Read More →

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