Climate Attribution

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Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change

March 2021
LUKAS GUDMUNDSSON, JULIEN BOULANGE, HONG X. DO, SIMON N. GOSLING, MANOLIS G. GRILLAKIS, ARISTEIDIS G. KOUTROULIS, MICHAEL LEONARD, JUNGUO LIU, HANNES MÜLLER SCHMIED, LAMPRINI PAPADIMITRIOU, YADU POKHREL, SONIA I. SENEVIRATNE, YUSUKE SATOH, WIM THIERY, SETH WESTRA, XUEBIN ZHANG, FANG ZHAO
American Association for the Advancement of Science
The fingerprint of anthropogenic climate change is apparent in river flow and hydrological extremes at the global scale.Read More →

Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change

March 2021
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Folmer Krikken, Sophie Lewis, Nicholas J. Leach, Flavio Lehner, Kate R. Saunders, Michiel van Weele, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, David Wallom, Sarah Sparrow, Julie Arrighi, Roop K. Singh, Maarten K. van Aalst, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Robert Vautard, Friederike E. L. Otto
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Heat extremes have become more likely by at least a factor of 2 due to the long-term warming trend.Read More →

Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects

February 2021
James S. Clark, Robert Andrus, Melaine Aubry-Kientz, Yves Bergeron, Michal Bogdziewicz, Don C. Bragg, Dale Brockway, Natalie L. Cleavitt, Susan Cohen, Benoit Courbaud, Robert Daley, Adrian J. Das, Michael Dietze, Timothy J. Fahey, Istem Fer, Jerry F. Franklin, Catherine A. Gehring, Gregory S. Gilbert, Cathryn H. Greenberg, Qinfeng Guo, Janneke HilleRisLambers, Ines Ibanez, Jill Johnstone, Christopher L. Kilner, Johannes Knops, Walter D. Koenig, Georges Kunstler, Jalene M. LaMontagne, Kristin L. Legg, Jordan Luongo, James A. Lutz, Diana Macias, Eliot J. B. McIntire, Yassine Messaoud, Christopher M. Moore, Emily Moran, Jonathan A. Myers, Orrin B. Myers, Chase Nunez, Robert Parmenter, Sam Pearse, Scott Pearson, Renata Poulton-Kamakura, Ethan Ready, Miranda D. Redmond, Chantal D. Reid, Kyle C. Rodman, C. Lane Scher, William H. Schlesinger, Amanda M. Schwantes, Erin Shanahan, Shubhi Sharma, Michael A. Steele, Nathan L. Stephenson, Samantha Sutton, Jennifer J. Swenson, Margaret Swift, Thomas T. Veblen, Amy V. Whipple, Thomas G. Whitham, Andreas P. Wion, Kai Zhu & Roman Zlotin.
Nature Communications
Climate change that stimulates tree growth can make smaller trees produce more seeds per year, but also can render larger trees less able to reproduce.Read More →

Heat Waves, Climate Change, and Economic Output

February 2021
Steve Miller, Kenn Chua, Jay Coggins, Hamid Mohtadi
Oxford Academic
Using a global dataset spanning 1979–2016, the authors show agricultural losses from past heat waves are up to an order of magnitude larger than suggested by standard approaches.Read More →

Anthropogenic climate change is worsening North American pollen seasons

February 2021
William R. L. Anderegg, John T. Abatzoglou, Leander D. L. Anderegg, Leonard Bielory, Patrick L. Kinney & Lewis Ziska
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Long-term pollen data from 60 North American stations and Earth system model simulations quantify the role of human-caused climate change in continental patterns in pollen concentrations.Read More →