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Impact Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how global climate change affects human and natural systems. The resources listed below deal with localized physical impacts, such as floods, droughts, and sea level rise, and the corresponding effects on infrastructure, public health, ecosystems, agriculture, and economies.

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Heat Waves, Climate Change, and Economic Output

February 2021
Steve Miller, Kenn Chua, Jay Coggins, Hamid Mohtadi
Oxford Academic
Using a global dataset spanning 1979–2016, the authors show agricultural losses from past heat waves are up to an order of magnitude larger than suggested by standard approaches.Read More →

Anthropogenic climate change is worsening North American pollen seasons

February 2021
William R. L. Anderegg, John T. Abatzoglou, Leander D. L. Anderegg, Leonard Bielory, Patrick L. Kinney & Lewis Ziska
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Long-term pollen data from 60 North American stations and Earth system model simulations quantify the role of human-caused climate change in continental patterns in pollen concentrations.Read More →

Increasing importance of temperature as a contributor to the spatial extent of streamflow drought

February 2021
Manuela I Brunner, Daniel L Swain, Eric Gilleland, Andrew W Wood
IOPscience
The authors conclude that continued global warming may further increase drought extents, requiring adaptation of regional drought management strategies.Read More →

Increased outburst flood hazard from Lake Palcacocha due to human-induced glacier retreat

February 2021
R. F. Stuart-Smith, G. H. Roe, S. Li & M. R. Allen
Nature Geoscience
The retreat of Palcaraju glacier cannot be explained by natural variability alone, as human-induced warming equals between 85 and 105% (5–95% confidence interval) of the observed 1 °C warming in this region.Read More →

Extreme Climate and Absence from Work: Evidence from Jamaica

January 2021
Nekeisha Spencer, Mikhail-Ann Urquhart
Springer
This study investigated the impact of extreme climate events on work absence in Jamaica.Read More →

Shifts in global bat diversity suggest a possible role of climate change in the emergence of SARS-CoV-1 and SARS-CoV-2

January 2021
Robert M. Beyer, Andrea Manica & Camilo Mora
Science of the Total Environment
The number of coronaviruses in an area is strongly correlated with local bat species richness, which in turn is affected by climatic conditions. Climate change may have played a key role in the evolution or transmission of the two SARS CoVs.Read More →

Effect of Extreme Climate Events on Lake Ecosystems

January 2021
Erik Jeppesen, Donald Pierson, Eleanor Jennings
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
Extreme climatic events, including heatwaves, storms, extreme calm periods, sudden and intense rainfall, and droughts, have the potential to result in physical, chemical, and biological changes within lakes.Read More →

The changing risk and burden of wildfire in the United States

January 2021
Marshall Burke, Anne Driscoll, Sam Heft-Neal, Jiani Xue, Jennifer Burney, Michael Wara
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
To illustrate how changes in wildfire activity might affect air pollution and related health outcomes, and how these linkages might guide future science and policy, the authors relate satellite-based fire and smoke data to information from pollution Read More →

Changes in annual extreme temperature and heat indices in Limpopo province: period 1941–2016

January 2021
Mohau J. Mateyisi, Malebajoa A. Maoela, Amukelani Maluleke, Mokhele E. Moeletsi, Graham von Maltitz
Springer
Statistically significant warming trends at 5 of 10 climate stations within the Limpopo province in South Africa were observed from 1941-2016.Read More →

Potential linkages of extreme climate events with vegetation and large-scale circulation indices in an endorheic river basin in northwest China

January 2021
Qingping Cheng, Fanglei Zhong, Ping Wang
Elsevier
Extreme climate indices were significantly correlated with vegetation types and large-scale circulation indices in the HRB.Read More →

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