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Impact Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how global climate change affects human and natural systems. The resources listed below deal with localized physical impacts, such as floods, droughts, and sea level rise, and the corresponding effects on infrastructure, public health, ecosystems, agriculture, and economies.

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Climate change risk to global port operations

November 2020
C. Izaguirre, I. J. Losada, P. Camus, J. L. Vigh, V. Stenek
Nature
This study presents an analysis of historical global risk to port operations under a high-end warming scenario.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Supporting Technical Report of Dr. Carlos Afonso Nobre – Institute of Amazonian Studies v. Brazil

September 2020
Carlos Afonso Nobre
Legal Document - Institute of Amazonian Studies v. Brazil
This Expert Report filed by plaintiffs in a Brazilian Federal District Court assesses the impact of Amazon deforestation on global climate change, and on climate change impacts in Brazil.Read More →

LEGAL RESOURCE – Independent Expert Report of Dr. Karl Mallon – Sharma & Others v. Minister for the Environment

September 2020
Karl Mallon
Legal Document - Sharma & Others v. Minister for the Environment
This Independent Expert Report, submitted in Sharma v. Minister for the Environment, assesses the foreseeable future impacts of a new coal mine in Australia on people in Australia between the ages of zero and 18 in the year 2020.Read More →

Extreme heat and stock market activity

September 2020
Jonathan Peillex, Imane El Ouadghiri, Mathieu Gomes, Jamil Jaballah
Elsevier
Empirical analyses show that, on average, trading volumes fall significantly (between 4% and 10%) when maximum daily temperatures exceed 30 °C (86 °F).Read More →

Press Release: 16 Million Children Affected by Massive Flooding in South Asia, with Millions More at Risk

September 2020
United Nations International Children's Fund
United Nations International Children's Fund (UNICEF)
This article describes how monsoon rains and catastrophic flooding in Nepal, India, and Bangladesh left 16 million children and their families were in urgent need of life-saving support. Read More →

Anthropogenic Climate Change and Glacier Lake Outburst Flood Risk: Local and Global Drivers and Responsibilities for the Case of Lake Palcacocha, Peru

August 2020
Christian Huggel, Mark Carey, Adam Emmer, Holger Frey, Noah Walker-Crawford, and Ivo Wallimann-Helmer
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Analysis of lake Palcacocha's case in the Andes of Peru, which offers a representative model for other glacier lakes and related risks around the world because it features a dynamic evolution of flood risk driven by physical and socioeconomic factorsRead More →

Extinction risk assessment of a Patagonian ungulate using population dynamics models under climate change scenarios

July 2020
Carlos Riquelme, Sergio A. Estay, Rafael Contreras, Paulo Corti
International Journal of Biometeorology
Huemul population is currently in a quasi-extinction process, with extinction probabilities increasing with climate change.These results are crucial for conservation of species like huemul that have low densities and are threatened by climate change.Read More →

Extreme Runoff Generation From Atmospheric River Driven Snowmelt During the 2017 Oroville Dam Spillways Incident

June 2020
Brian Henn, Keith N. Musselman, Leanne Lestak , F. Martin Ralph, Noah P. Molotch
American Geophysical Union
This study suggests that unusually warm temperatures during winter atmospheric river storms in the Western United States are associated with flood risk due to substantial rainfall and snowmelt. Read More →

Uncertainties in Climate and Weather Extremes Increase the Cost of Carbon

June 2020
Cristian Proistosescu, Gernot Wagner
Cell Press
Climate change has myriad physical and economic impacts. This study argues that uncertainties in climate and weather extremes only further increase the social cost of carbon emissions.Read More →

The Economic Costs of Hurricane Harvey Attributable to Climate Change

May 2020
David J.Frame, Michael F. Wehner, Ilan Noy, and Suzanne M. Rosier
Climatic Change
This paper uses a probabilistic event attribution framework to estimate the costs associated with Hurricane Harvey that are attributable to anthropogenic influence on the climate system.Read More →

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