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Impact Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how global climate change affects human and natural systems. The resources listed below deal with localized physical impacts, such as floods, droughts, and sea level rise, and the corresponding effects on infrastructure, public health, ecosystems, agriculture, and economies.

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Detecting and Attributing Health Burdens to Climate Change

August 2017
Kristie L. Ebi, Nicholas H. Ogden, Jan C. Semenza, Alistair Woodward
Environmental Health Perspectives
This study aims to show a range of approaches for conducting detection and attribution analyses. Read More →

Attributing extreme fire risk in Western Canada to human emissions

July 2017
Megan C. Kirchmeier-Young, Francis W. Zwiers, Nathan P. Gillett, Alex J. Cannon
Climatic Change
This peer-reviewed article applies an event attribution framework to quantify the influence of human-created greenhouse gas emissions on extreme fire risk in the current climate of a western Canada.Read More →

Attribution of the Observed Spring Snowpack Decline in British Columbia to Anthropogenic Climate Change

June 2017
Mohammad Reza Najafi, Francis Zwiers, and Nathan Gillett
Journal of Climate
Robust anthropogenic influence is detected in three Canadian river basins: Fraser Columbia, and Campbell. Read More →

The Status of Climate Change Litigation: A Global Review

May 2017
Michael Burger, Justin Gundlach
United Nations Environment Programme
This report offers a comprehensive survey of global climate change litigation, an overview of litigation trends, and descriptions of key issues that courts must resolve in the course of climate change cases. Read More →

The Bramble Cay melomys Melomys rubicola (Rodentia: Muridae): a first mammalian extinction caused by human-induced climate change?

March 2017
Natalie L. Waller, Ian C. Gynther, Alastair B. Freeman, Tyrone H. Lavery and Luke K.-P. Leung
Wildlife Research
This study aimed to confirm the current conservation status of the species, to seek information about the key factor or factors responsible for the population decline and to recover any remaining individuals for a captive insurance population.Read More →

Climate change may drive cave spiders to extinction

January 2017
Stefano Mammola Sara L. Goodacre Marco Isaia
Ecography
This paper pointed toward a future decline in habitat suitability for subterranean spiders and the potential extinction of the most restricted endemic species.Read More →

Climate variation drives dengue dynamics

December 2016
Lei Xu, Leif C. Stige, Kung-Sik Chan, Jie Zhou, Jun Yang, Shaowei Sang, Ming Wang, Zhicong Yang, Ziqiang Yan, Tong Jiang, Liang Lu, Yujuan Yue, Xiaobo Liu, Hualiang Lin, Jianguo Xu, Qiyong Liu, and Nils Stenseth
Proceedings of the National Academies of the Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses temperature, precipitation, and disease incidence data to demonstrate that the disease dengue is becoming more prevalent as rising temperatures and increased precipitation increase the population of mosquitos in China.Read More →

Climate-Related Local Extinctions Are Already Widespread among Plant and Animal Species

December 2016
John J. Wiens
PLOS Biology
The results of this study suggest that local extinctions related to climate change are already widespread, even though levels of climate change so far are modest relative to those predicted in the next 100 years. Read More →

Attribution of Extreme Rainfall in Southeast China During May 2015

December 2016
Claire Burke, Peter Stott, Ying Sun, Andrew Ciavarella
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Anthropogenic climate change increased the probability that a short-duration, intense rainfall event would occur in parts of southeast China. This type of event occurred in May 2015, causing serious flooding. Read More →

In Tide’s Way: Southeast Florida’s September 2015 Sunny-day Flood

December 2016
William V. Sweet, Melisa Menendez, Ayesha Genz, Jayantha Obeysekera, Joseph Park, John J. Marra
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The probability of a 0.57-m tidal flood within the Miami region has increased by >500% since 1994 from a 10.9-cm sea level rise (SLR)-related trend in monthly highest tides. Read More →

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