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Impact Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how global climate change affects human and natural systems. The resources listed below deal with localized physical impacts, such as floods, droughts, and sea level rise, and the corresponding effects on infrastructure, public health, ecosystems, agriculture, and economies.

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Climate Change Effects on Heat- and Cold-Related Mortality in the Netherlands: A Scenario-Based Integrated Environmental Health Impact Assessment

October 2015
Maud M. T. E. Huynen, Pim Martens
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
This article explores the impacts of climate change on heat and cold-related mortality, illustrating that model outcomes are not only highly dependent on climate scenarios, but also on adaptation assumptions. Read More →

Climate Justice and the Application of Probabilistic Event Attribution to Summer Heat Extremes in the California Central Valley

August 2015
Roberto Mera, Neil Massey, David E. Rupp, Philip Mote, Myles Allen, Peter C. Frumhoff
SpringerLink
This study applies probabilistic event attribution (PEA) to explore the climate attribution of recent extreme heat events in California's Central Valley. Read More →

Distributive Fairness: A Mutual Recognition Approach

August 2015
Arild Underdal, Taoyuan Wei
Environmental Science and Policy
This article "translates" the UNFCCC principles of responsibilities and capabilities into 15 allocation schemes and explores the implications of these schemes for the mitigation obligations and costs of seven potentially pivotal actors. Read More →

Climate and Conflict

August 2015
Marshall Burke, Solomon M. Hsiang, Edward Miguel
Annual Reviews
This paper reviews the emerging literature on climate and conflict and finds that conflict increases with temperature.Read More →

Accelerating extinction risk from climate change

May 2015
Mark C. Urban
Science
This study synthesized published studies in order to estimate a global mean extinction rate and determine which factors contribute the greatest uncertainty to climate change–induced extinction risks.Read More →

Effects of Climate Extremes on the Terrestrial Carbon Cycle: Concepts, Processes, and Potential Future Impacts

March 2015
Dorothea Frank, Markus Reichstein, Michael Bahn, Kirsten Thonicke, David Frank, Miguel D. Mahecha, Pete Smith, Marijn van der Velde, Sara Vicca, Flurin Babst, Christian Beer, Nina Buchmann, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Wolfgang Cramer, Andreas Ibrom, Franco Miglietta, Ben Poulter, Anja Rammig, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Ariane Walz, Martin Wattenbach, Miguel A. Zavala, Jakob Zscheischler
Global Change Biology
This paper reviews the literature on carbon cycle relevant responses of ecosystems to extreme climatic events, finding that ecosystem responses can exceed the duration of the climate impacts via lagged effects on the carbon cycle. Read More →

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2014

January 2015
Rajendra K. Pachauri, Myles R. Allen, Vicente R. Barros, John Broome, Wolfgang Cramer, Renate Christ, John A. Church, Leon Clarke, Qin Dahe , Purnamita Dasgupta, Navroz K. Dubash, Ottmar Edenhofer, Ismail Elgizouli , Christopher B. Field, Piers Forster, Pierre Friedlingstein, Jan Fuglestvedt, Luis Gomez-Echeverri, Stephane Hallegatte, Gabriele Hegerl, Mark Howden, Kejun Jiang, Blanca Jimenez Cisneros, Vladimir Kattsov, Hoesung Lee, Katharine J. Mach, Jochem Marotzke, Michael D. Mastrandrea, Leo Meyer, Jan Minx, Yacob Mulugetta, Karen O’Brien, Michael Oppenheimer, Joy J. Pereira, Ramón Pichs-Madruga, Gian-Kasper Plattner, Hans-Otto Pörtner, Scott B. Power, Benjamin Preston, N.H. Ravindranath, Andy Reisinger, Keywan Riahi, Matilde Rusticucci, Robert Scholes, Kristin Seyboth, Youba Sokona, Robert Stavins, Thomas F. Stocker, Petra Tschakert, Detlef van Vuuren, Jean-Pascal van Ypersele
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
This Synthesis Report is based on the reports of the three Working Groups of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and provides an integrated view of climate change as the final part of the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5).Read More →

Climate change and conflict: Making sense of disparate findings

November 2014
Idean Salehyan
Elsevier
This editorial provides an analysis of research on climate, climate change, and conflict.Read More →

Measuring the Burden of Disease Due to Climate Change and Developing a Forecast Model in South Korea

August 2014
S.-J. Yoon, I.-H. Oh, H.-Y. Seo, E.-J. Kim
Journal of Public Health
This study quantified the burden of disease caused by climate change in Korea, and provides valuable information for determining the priorities of environmental health policy in East Asian countries with similar climates.Read More →

Attributing Weather Extremes to ‘Climate Change’: A Review

June 2014
Mike Hulme
Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment
This report surveys the science of extreme weather event attribution by examining the field in four stages: motivations for extreme weather attribution, methods of attribution, some example case studies and the politics of weather event attribution.Read More →

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