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Impact Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how global climate change affects human and natural systems. The resources listed below deal with localized physical impacts, such as floods, droughts, and sea level rise, and the corresponding effects on infrastructure, public health, ecosystems, agriculture, and economies.

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Climate‐related range shifts – a global multidimensional synthesis and new research directions

April 2014
J. Lenoir, J.-C. Svenning
Ecography - Nordic Society Oikos
This paper proposes a unified classification of geographical patterns of species range shifts, arranged in a bi-dimensional space defined by species’ persistence and movement rates. Read More →

Working Group III Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

April 2014
Ottmar Edenhofer, Ramón Pichs-Madruga, Youba Sokona, Jan C. Minx, Ellie Farahani, Susanne Kadner, Kristin Seyboth, Anna Adler, Ina Baum, Steffen Brunner, Patrick Eickemeier, Benjamin Kriemann, Jussi Savolainen, Steffen Schlömer, Christoph von Stechow, Timm Zwickel
Cambridge University Press
This report presents an assessment climate change mitigation options, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions and reducing their concentrations in the atmosphere. Read More →

AR5 WGIII Report Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change

April 2014
Ottmar Edenhofer, Ramón Pichs-Madruga, Youba Sokona, Shardul Agrawala, Igor Alexeyevich Bashmakov, Gabriel Blanco, John Broome, Thomas Bruckner, Steffen Brunner, Mercedes Bustamante, Leon Clarke, Felix Creutzig, Shobhakar Dhakal, Navroz K. Dubash, Patrick Eickemeier, Ellie Farahani, Manfred Fischedick, Marc Fleurbaey, Reyer Gerlagh, Luis Gómez-Echeverri, Sujata Gupta, Jochen Harnisch, Kejun Jiang, Susanne Kadner, Sivan Kartha, Stephan Klasen, Charles Kolstad, Volker Krey, Howard Kunreuther, Oswaldo Lucon, Omar Masera, Jan Minx, Yacob Mulugetta, Anthony Patt, Nijavalli H. Ravindranath, Keywan Riahi, Joyashree Roy, Roberto Schaeffer, Steffen Schlömer, Karen Seto, Kristin Seyboth, Ralph Sims, Jim Skea, Pete Smith, Eswaran Somanathan, Robert Stavins, Christoph von Stechow, Thomas Sterner, Taishi Sugiyama, Sangwon Suh, Kevin Chika Urama, Diana Ürge-Vorsatz, David G. Victor, Dadi Zhou, Ji Zou, Timm Zwickel
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
The Working Group III contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides a comprehensive and transparent assessment of the scientific literature on climate change mitigation.Read More →

Detection and Attribution of Observed Impacts

January 2014
Wolfgang Cramer, Gary W. Yohe, Maximilian Auffhammer, Christian Huggel, Ulf Molau, Maria Assunção Faus da Silva Dias, Andrew Solow, Dáithí A. Stone, Lourdes Tibig
Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability
This chapter synthesizes the scientific literature on the detection and attribution of observed changes in natural and human systems in response to observed recent climate change.Read More →

IPCC AR5 WGII Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability

January 2014
Christopher B. Field, Vicente R. Barros, Michael D. Mastrandrea, Katharine J. Mach, Mohamed A.-K. Abdrabo,W. Neil Adger, Yury A. Anokhin, Oleg A. Anisimov, Douglas J. Arent, Jonathon Barnett, Virginia R. Burkett, Rongshuo Cai, Monalisa Chatterjee, Stewart J. Cohen,Wolfgang Cramer, Purnamita Dasgupta, Debra J. Davidson, Fatima Denton, Petra Döll, Kirstin Dow, Yasuaki Hijioka , Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, Richard G. Jones, Roger N. Jones, Roger L. Kitching , R. Sari Kovats, Joan Nymand Larsen, Erda Lin, David B. Lobell, Iñigo J. Losada, Graciela O. Magrin, José A. Marengo, Anil Markandya, Bruce A. McCarl, Roger F. McLean, Linda O. Mearns, Guy F. Midgley, Nobuo Mimura, John F. Morton , Isabelle Niang, Ian R. Noble, Leonard A. Nurse, Karen L. O’Brien, Taikan Oki , Lennart Olsson, Michael Oppenheimer, Jonathan T. Overpeck, Joy J. Pereira, Elvira S. Poloczanska, John R. Porter, Hans-O. Pörtner, Michael J. Prather, Roger S. Pulwarty, Andy Reisinger, Aromar Revi, Patricia Romero-Lankao, Oliver C. Ruppel, David E. Satterthwaite, Daniela N. Schmidt, Josef Settele, Kirk R. Smith, Dáithí A. Stone, Avelino G. Suarez, Petra Tschakert, Riccardo Valentini, Alicia Villamizar, Rachel Warren, Thomas J.Wilbanks, Poh Poh Wong, Alistair Woodward, Gary W. Yohe
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
This report considers climate change impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. It provides a comprehensive picture of the current state of knowledge and level of certainty, based on the available scientific, technical, and socio-economic literature.Read More →

The Challenge to Detect and Attribute Effects of Climate Change on Human and Natural Systems

August 2013
Dáithí Stone, Maximilian Auffhammer, Mark Carey, Gerrit Hansen, Christian Huggel, Wolfgang Cramer, David Lobell, Ulf Molau, Andrew Solow, Lourdes Tibig, Gary Yohe
Climatic Change
This paper describes the current conceptual framework of detection and attribution and outlines a number of conceptual challenges.Read More →

The Impact of Powder River Basin Coal Exports on Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions

May 2013
Thomas Michael Power, Donovan S. Power
The Energy Foundation
This report details and responds to the arguments that there will be no net increase in global GHG emissions as a result of the expansion of PRB coal mining and the construction of rail and port infrastructure on the West Coast.Read More →

Shifts in the Seasonal Distribution of Deaths in Australia, 1968–2007

April 2013
Charmian M. Bennett, Keith B. G. Dear, Anthony J. McMichael
International Journal of Biometeorology
This study examines the ratio of summer to winter deaths in Australia with a background of rising average annual temperature over four decades, and finds that change has been driven more by reduced winter mortality than by increased summer mortality.Read More →

How does climate change cause extinction?

January 2013
Abigail E. Cahill, Matthew E. Aiello-Lammens, M. Caitlin Fisher-Reid, Xia Hua, Caitlin J. Karanewsky, Hae Yeong Ryu, Gena C. Sbeglia, Fabrizio Spagnolo, John B. Waldron, Omar Warsi and John J. Wiens
The Royal Society Publishing
This study systematically reviewed the proximate causes of climate-change related extinctions and their empirical support. Read More →

Cusk (Brosme brosme) and Climate Change: Assessing the Threat to a Candidate Marine Fish Species Under the US Endangered Species Act

December 2012
Jonathan A. Hare, John P. Manderson, Janet A. Nye, Michael A. Alexander, Peter J. Auster, Diane L. Borggaard, Antonietta M. Capotondi, Kimberly B. Damon-Randall, Eric Heupel, Ivan Mateo, Loretta O'Brien, David E. Richardson, Charles A. Stock, Sarah T. Biegel
ICES Journal of Marine Science
This study examines changes in distribution and abundance of a number of marine fish in the Northwest Atlantic that have been linked to climate variability and change, suggesting that both fishing and climate may affect the status of cusk. Read More →

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