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Impact Attribution

This category encompasses research aimed at understanding how global climate change affects human and natural systems. The resources listed below deal with localized physical impacts, such as floods, droughts, and sea level rise, and the corresponding effects on infrastructure, public health, ecosystems, agriculture, and economies.

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Prolonged Suppression of Ecosystem Carbon Dioxide Uptake After an Anomalously Warm Year

September 2008
John A. Arnone III, Paul S. J. Verburg, Dale W. Johnson, Jessica D. Larsen, Richard L. Jasoni, Annmarie J. Lucchesi, Candace M. Batts, Christopher von Nagy, William G. Coulombe, David E. Schorran, Paul E. Buck, Bobby H. Braswell, James S. Coleman, Rebecca A. Sherry, Linda L. Wallace, Yiqi Luo, David S. Schimel
Nature
This study suggests that more frequent anomalously warm years, a possible consequence of increasing anthropogenic carbon dioxide levels, may lead to a sustained decrease in carbon dioxide uptake by terrestrial ecosystems.Read More →

One-Third of Reef-Building Corals Face Elevated Extinction Risk from Climate Change and Local Impacts

July 2008
Kent E. Carpenter, Muhammad Abrar, Greta Aeby, Richard B. Aronson, Stuart Banks, Andrew Bruckner, Angel Chiriboga, Jorge Cortés, J. Charles Delbeek, Lyndon DeVantier, Graham J. Edgar, Alasdair J. Edwards, Douglas Fenner, Héctor M. Guzmán, Bert W. Hoeksema, Gregor Hodgson, Ofri Johan, Wilfredo Y. Licuanan, Suzanne R. Livingstone, Edward R. Lovell, Jennifer A. Moore, David O. Obura, Domingo Ochavillo, Beth A. Polidoro, William F. Precht, Miledel C. Quibilan, Clarissa Reboton, Zoe T. Richards, Alex D. Rogers, Jonnell Sanciangco, Anne Sheppard, Charles Sheppard, Jennifer Smith, Simon Stuart, Emre Turak, John E. N. Veron, Carden Wallace, Ernesto Weil, Elizabeth Wood
Science
This study´s results emphasize the widespread plight of coral reefs and the urgent need to enact conservation measures.Read More →

Attributing Physical and Biological Impacts to Anthropogenic Climate Change

May 2008
Cynthia Rosenzweig, David Karoly, Marta Vicarelli, Peter Neofotis, Qigang Wu, Gino Casassa, Annette Menzel, Terry L. Root, Nicole Estrella, Bernard Seguin, Piotr Tryjanowski, Chunzhen Liu, Samuel Rawlins, Anton Imeson
Nature
This article concludes that anthropogenic climate change is having a significant impact on physical and biological systems globally and in some continents.Read More →

Forcing of Multiyear Extreme Ocean Temperatures that Impacted California Current Living Marine Resources in 2016

January 2008
Michael G. Jacox, Michael A. Alexander, Nathan J. Mantua, James D. Scott, Gaelle Hervieux, Robert S. Webb, Francisco E. Werner
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Significant impacts on California Current living marine resources in 2016 resulted from sustained extremely high ocean temperatures forced by a confluence of natural drivers and likely exacerbated by anthropogenic warming.Read More →

Climate Change, Elevational Range Shifts, and Bird Extinctions

December 2007
Cagan H. Sekercioglu, Stephen H. Schneider, John P. Fay, Scott R. Loarie
Society for Conservation Biology
Using elevational limits in a tested, standardized, and robust manner can improve conservation assessments of terrestrial species and will help identify species that are most vulnerable to global climate change. Read More →

Climate Change Justice

August 2007
Eric A. Posner, Cass R. Sunstein
John M. Olin Law & Economics Working Paper No. 354
This article grapples with the responsibility of the United States to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions, and considers how climate change will impact the U.S., compared to how it will impact other countries. Read More →

Climate Change, Mortality, and Adaptation: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather in the US

June 2007
Oliver Deschênes, Michael Greenstone
National Bureau of Economic Research
This paper produces the first large-scale estimates of the US health related welfare costs due to climate change.Read More →

IPCC AR4 WGII Report Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability

April 2007
Neil Adger, Pramod Aggarwal, Shardul Agrawala, Joseph Alcamo, Abdelkader Allali, Oleg Anisimov, Nigel Arnell, Michel Boko, Osvaldo Canziani, Timothy Carter, Gino Casassa, Ulisses Confalonieri, Rex Victor Cruz, Edmundo de Alba Alcaraz, William Easterling, Christopher Field, Andreas Fischlin, Blair Fitzharris, Carlos Gay García, Clair Hanson, Hideo Harasawa, Kevin Hennessy, Saleemul Huq, Roger Jones, Lucka Kajfež Bogataj, David Karoly, Richard Klein, Zbigniew Kundzewicz, Murari Lal, Rodel Lasco, Geoff Love, Xianfu Lu, Graciela Magrín, Luis José Mata, Roger McLean, Bettina Menne, Guy Midgley, Nobuo Mimura, Monirul Qader Mirza, José Moreno, Linda Mortsch, Isabelle Niang-Diop, Robert Nicholls, Béla Nováky, Leonard Nurse, Anthony Nyong, Michael Oppenheimer, Jean Palutikof, Martin Parry, Anand Patwardhan, Patricia Romero Lankao, Cynthia Rosenzweig, Stephen Schneider, Serguei Semenov, Joel Smith, John Stone, Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, David Vaughan, Coleen Vogel, Thomas Wilbanks, Poh Poh Wong, Shaohong Wu, Gary Yohe
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
This report provides the most comprehensive and up-to-date scientific assessment of the impacts of climate change, the vulnerability of natural and human environments, and the potential for response through adaptation.Read More →

Global Scale Climate-Crop Yield Relationships and the Impacts of Recent Warming

March 2007
David B. Lobell, Christopher B. Field
Environmental Research Letters
This study shows that simple measures of growing season temperatures and precipitation explain variations in global average yields for the world’s six most widely grown crops, and that climate change negatively impacts crop yield. Read More →

The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather

March 2007
Oliver Deschênes, Michael Greenstone
The American Economic Review
This paper measures the economic impact of climate change on US agricultural land by estimating the effect of random year-to-year variation in temperature and precipitation on agricultural profits.Read More →

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