Climate Attribution

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The 2021 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: code red for a healthy future

October 2021
Marina Romanello, Alice McGushin, Claudia Di Napoli, Paul Drummond, Nick Hughes, Louis Jamart, Harry Kennard, Pete Lampard, Baltazar Solano Rodriguez, Nigel Arnell, Sonja Ayeb-Karlsson, Kristine Belesova, Wenjia Cai, Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum, Stuart Capstick, Jonathan Chambers, Lingzhi Chu, Luisa Ciampi, Carole Dalin, Niheer Dasandi, Shouro Dasgupta, Michael Davies, Paula Dominguez-Salas, Robert Dubrow, Kristie L Ebi, Matthew Eckelman, Paul Ekins, Luis E Escobar, Lucien Georgeson, Delia Grace, Hilary Graham, Samuel H Gunther, Stella Hartinger, Kehan He, Clare Heaviside, Jeremy Hess, Shih-Che Hsu, Slava Jankin, Marcia P Jimenez, Ilan Kelman, Gregor Kiesewetter, Patrick L Kinney, Tord Kjellstrom, Dominic Kniveton, Jason K W Lee, Bruno Lemke, Yang Liu, Zhao Liu, Melissa Lott, Rachel Lowe, Jaime Martinez-Urtaza, Mark Maslin, Lucy McAllister, Celia McMichael, Zhifu Mi, James Milner, Kelton Minor, Nahid Mohajeri, Maziar Moradi-Lakeh, Karyn Morrissey, Simon Munzert, Kris A Murray, Tara Neville, Maria Nilsson, Nick Obradovich, Maquins Odhiambo Sewe, Tadj Oreszczyn, Matthias Otto, Fereidoon Owfi, Olivia Pearman, David Pencheon, Mahnaz Rabbaniha, Elizabeth Robinson, Joacim Rocklöv, Renee N Salas, Jan C Semenza, Jodi Sherman, Liuhua Shi, Marco Springmann, Meisam Tabatabaei, Jonathon Taylor, Joaquin Trinanes, Joy Shumake-Guillemot, Bryan Vu, Fabian Wagner, Paul Wilkinson, Matthew Winning, Marisol Yglesias, Shihui Zhang, Peng Gong, Hugh Montgomery, Anthony Costello, Ian Hamilton
The Lancet
This review article represents the consensus of leading researchers on the health impacts of climate change.Read More →

Global urban population exposure to extreme heat

October 2021
Cascade Tuholske, Kelly Caylor, Chris Funk, Andrew Verdin, Stuart Sweeney, Kathryn Grace, Pete Peterson, and Tom Evans
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This study finds that global population exposure to extreme heat increased nearly 200% from 1983 to 2016. Read More →

Machine-learning-based evidence and attribution mapping of 100,000 climate impact studies

October 2021
Max Callaghan, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Shruti Nath, Quentin Lejeune, Thomas R. Knutson, Markus Reichstein, Gerrit Hansen, Emily Theokritoff, Marina Andrijevic, Robert J. Brecha, Michael Hegarty, Chelsea Jones, Kaylin Lee, Agathe Lucas, Nicole van Maanen, Inga Menke, Peter Pfleiderer, Burcu Yesil & Jan C. Minx
Nature Climate Change
This article uses machine learning to infer that attributable anthropogenic impacts may be occurring across 80% of the world’s land area, while revealing that researchers have disproportionately focused on high-income countries.Read More →

Evidence for massive and recurrent toxic blooms of Alexandrium catenella in the Alaskan Arctic

October 2021
Donald M. Anderson, Evangeline Fachon, Robert S. Pickart, Peigen Lin, Alexis D. Fischer, Mindy L. Richlen, Victoria Uva, Michael L. Brosnahan, Leah McRaven, Frank Bahr, Kathi Lefebvre, Jacqueline M. Grebmeier, Seth L. Danielson, Yihua Lyu, and Yuri Fukai
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This study explores how warming can facilitate range expansions of harmful algal bloom species into waters where temperatures were formerly unfavorable.Read More →

Dangerous Air: As California burns, America breathes toxic smoke

September 2021
Alison Saldanha, Farida Jhabvala Romero, Caleigh Wells, and Aaron Glantz
KCRW
An analysis of federal satellite imagery by NPR’s California Newsroom and Stanford University’s Environmental Change and Human Outcomes Lab found a startling increase in the number of days people are breathing wildfire smoke.Read More →

Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes

September 2021
Wim Thiery, Stefan Lange, Joeri Rogelj, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Lukas Gudmundsson, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Marina Andrijevic, Katja Frieler, Kerry Emanuel, Tobias Geiger, David N. Bresch, Fang Zhao, Sven N. Willner, Matthias Büchner, Jan Volkholz, Nico Bauer, Jinfeng Chang, Philippe Ciais, Marie Dury, Louis François, Manolis Grillakis, Simon N. Gosling, Naota Hanasaki, Thomas Hickler, Veronika Huber, Akihiko Ito, Jonas Jägermeyr, Nikolay Khabarov, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Wenfeng Liu, Wolfgang Lutz, Matthias Mengel, Christoph Müller, Sebastian Ostberg, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Tobias Stacke, Yoshihide Wada
Science
This study estimates that, under current climate pledges, children born in 2020 will experience a two- to sevenfold increase in extreme events, particularly heat waves, compared with people born in 1960.Read More →