Climate Attribution

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A global transition to flash droughts under climate change

April 2023
Xing Yuan, Yumiao Wang, Peng Ji, Peili Wu, Justin Sheffield, Jason A. Otkin
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study shows that drought intensification rates have sped up over the past 64 years, and that this pattern of "flash droughts" is projected to expand to most land areas, with larger increases under higher-emission scenarios.Read More →

Synthesis Report of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report

March 2023
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
This Synthesis Report summarizes the state of knowledge of climate change, its widespread impacts and risks, and climate change mitigation and adaptation, based on the peer-reviewed scientific, technical and socio-economic literature since 2014.Read More →

Non-monotonic changes in Asian Water Towers’ streamflow at increasing warming levels

March 2023
Tong Cui, Yukun Li, Long Yang, Yi Nan, Kunbiao Li, Mahmut Tudaji, Hongchang Hu, Di Long, Muhammad Shahid, Ammara Mubeen, Zhihua He, Bin Yong, Hui Lu, Chao Li, Guangheng Ni, Chunhong Hu, Fuqiang Tian
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study finds complex changes in river flows from the Tibetan Plateau under various global warming scenarios, threatening water security in some countries from reduced river flows while elevating flood risks in other areas.Read More →

Oceanic climate changes threaten the sustainability of Asia’s water tower

March 2023
Qiang Zhang, Zexi Shen, Yadu Pokhrel, Daniel Farinotti, Vijay P. Singh, Chong-Yu Xu, Wenhuan Wu, Gang Wang
Nature
This peer-reviewed study indicates that, by the end of the 21st century, up to 97% (under the most extreme scenario) of the Tibetan Plateau could be affected by water storage deficits, leading to unstable water supplies in High Mountain Asia.Read More →

Glacial lake outburst floods threaten millions globally

February 2023
Caroline Taylor, Tom R. Robinson, Stuart Dunning, J. Rachel Carr, Matthew Westoby
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study examines the growing threat of glacial lake outburst floods, and show that 15 million people globally, particularly in high-mountain Asian and the Andes, are exposed to potential glacial lake outburst flooding.Read More →

Separation and Attribution of Impacts of Changes in Land Use and Climate on Hydrological Processes

January 2023
Francis Polong, Khidir Deng, Quoc Bao Pham, Nguyen Thi Thuy Linh, S. I. Abba, Ali Najah Ahmed, Duong Tran Anh, Khaled Mohamed Khedher, Ahmed El‑Shafie
Theoretical and Applied Climatology
This study highlights the significant effects of climate changes over land use changes on hydrological parameters within the Tana River Basin in Kenya, utilizing various data sources including satellite images and climatological datasets.Read More →

South Asian black carbon is threatening the water sustainability of the Asian Water Tower

November 2022
Junhua Yang, Shichang Kang, Deliang Chen, Lin Zhao, Zhenming Ji, Keqin Duan, Haijun Deng, Lekhendra Tripathee, Wentao Du, Mukesh Rai, Fangping Yan, Yuan Li, Robert R. Gillies
Nature Communications
This peer-reviewed study examines the effect of South Asian black carbon emissions on glacial melt in the Tibetan plateau, and indirect effects of this melt on the supply of water in densely-populated regions of South Asia.Read More →