Climate Attribution

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The Production Gap: Governments’ planned fossil fuel production remains dangerously out of sync with Paris Agreement limits

October 2021
Stockholm Environment Institute, UN Environmental Program, International Institute for Sustainable Development, ODI, E3G
Stockholm Environment Institute, UN Environmental Program, International Institute for Sustainable Development, ODI, E3G
This report tracks the discrepancy between governments’ planned fossil fuel production and global levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C.Read More →

Filling the evidentiary gap in climate litigation

June 2021
Rupert F. Stuart-Smith, Friederike E. L. Otto, Aisha I. Saad, Gaia Lisi, Petra Minnerop, Kristian Cedervall Lauta, Kristin van Zwieten & Thom Wetzer
Nature Climate Change
The evidence submitted and referenced in climate mitigation cases lags considerably behind the state of the art in climate science, impeding causation claims.Read More →

Estimating US fossil fuel CO2 emissions from measurements of 14C in atmospheric CO2

June 2020
Sourish Basu, Scott J. Lehman, John B. Miller, Arlyn E. Andrews, Colm Sweeney, Kevin R. Gurney, Xiaomei Xu, John Southon, Pieter P. Tans
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This article presents an independent method of emissions monitoring based directly on atmospheric observations and the strong fossil fuel CO2 detection capability afforded by precise measurements of 14CO2 in air samples.Read More →

Attributing long-term sea-level rise to Paris Agreement emission pledges

November 2019
Alexander Nauels, Johannes Gütschow, Matthias Mengel, Malte Meinshausen, Peter U. Clark, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
PNAS
This study uses GMSLR modeling that can handle emission scenarios flexibly to establish the link between pledged NDC emissions and GMSLR until 2300, thus highlighting the longer-term climate change implications of current climate mitigation efforts.Read More →

Climate Justice on a Carbon Budget

September 2019
Catriona McKinnon
Climatic Change
This article argues that carbon budgets present consequences for the ethics of climate change and delves into such consequences. Read More →