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Climate Change Attribution


Oceans

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Record-Setting Ocean Warmth Continued in 2019

January 2020
Lijing Cheng, John Abraham, Jiang Zhu, Kevin E. Trenberth, John Fasullo, Tim Boyer, Ricardo Locarnini, Bin Zhang, Fujiang Yu, Liying Wan, Xingrong Chen, Xiangzhou Song, Yulong Liu, Michael E. Mann
Springer
This article presents new ocean heat content data for the year 2019.Read More →

Attributing Ocean Acidification to Major Carbon Producers

December 2019
Licker, R, B Ekwurzel, S C Doney, S R Cooley, I D Lima, R Heede, and P C Frumhoff
Environmental Research Letters
This paper has informed societal considerations of the climate responsibilities of these major industrial carbon producers.Read More →

Attributing long-term sea-level rise to Paris Agreement emission pledges

November 2019
Alexander Nauels, Johannes Gütschow, Matthias Mengel, Malte Meinshausen, Peter U. Clark, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
PNAS
This study uses GMSLR modeling that can handle emission scenarios flexibly to establish the link between pledged NDC emissions and GMSLR until 2300, thus highlighting the longer-term climate change implications of current climate mitigation efforts.Read More →

The Role of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Climate Change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea Marine Heatwave

February 2019
S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, A. D. King; E. A. Cougnon, N. J. Holbrook, M. R. Grose, E. C. J. Oliver, S. C. Lewis, F. Pourasghar
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes the record sea surface temperatures during the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave and how climate models indicate that they were virtually impossible without anthropogenic influence. Read More →

Accelerating Changes in Ice Mass Within Greenland, and the Ice Sheet’s Sensitivity to Atmospheric Forcing

February 2019
Michael Bevis, Christopher Harig, Shfaqat A. Khan, Abel Brown, Frederik J. Simons, Michael Willis, Xavier Fettweis, Michiel R. van den Broeke, Finn Bo Madsen, Eric Kendrick, Dana J. Caccamise II, Tonie van Dam, Per Knudsen, Thomas Nylen
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
This study describes research in monitoring ice loss in Greenland due to oceanic and atmospheric forcings and predicts that continued atmospheric warming will lead to southwest Greenland becoming a major contributor to sea-level rise.Read More →

How Fast Are the Oceans Warming?

January 2019
Lijing Cheng, John Abraham, Zeke Hausfather, Kevin E. Trenberth
Science
This study presents observational records that show the rapid warming of the Earth’s oceans over the past few decades.Read More →

Marine Heatwaves Under Global Warming

August 2018
Thomas L. Frölicher, Erich M. Fischer, Nicolas Gruber
Nature
This report argues that marine heat waves (MHWs) are becoming longer-lasting and more frequent, extensive and intense in the past few decades, and that this trend will accelerate under further global warming.Read More →

Hurricane Harvey Links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation

May 2018
Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Earth's Future
This article uses ocean and atmosphere observations to demonstrate links between increased upper ocean heat content due to global warming with the extreme rainfalls from recent hurricanes.Read More →

Quantitative Attribution of Climate Effects on Hurricane Harvey’s Extreme Rainfall in Texas

April 2018
S-Y Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, Robert R Gillies
Environmental Research Letters
This study suggests that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation of Hurricane Harvey. Read More →

The High Latitude Marine Heat Wave of 2016 and Its Impacts on Alaska

March 2018
John E. Walsh, Richard L. Thoman, Uma S. Bhatt, Peter A. Bieniek, Brian Brettschneider, Michael Brubaker, Seth Danielson, Rick Lader, Florence Fetterer, Kris Holderied Katrin Iken, Andy Mahoney, Molly McCammon, James Partain
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS)
This article describes how the 2016 Alaska marine heat wave was unprecedented in terms of sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, and how CMIP5 data suggest human-induced climate change has greatly increased the risk of such anomalies.Read More →

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