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Attribution of Extreme Rainfall from Hurricane Harvey

January 2018
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Karin van der Wiel, Antonia Sebastian, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Friederike Otto, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, Gabriel Vecchi, Heidi Cullen
Environmental Research Letters
This report explores Hurricane Harvey, a positive trend in the intensity of extreme precipitation, global warming, and flood protection in Houston. Read More →

A Multifactor Risk Analysis of the Record 2016 Great Barrier Reef Bleaching

January 2018
Sophie C. Lewis, Jennie Mallela
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Anthropogenic greenhouse gases likely increased the risk of the extreme Great Barrier Reef bleaching event through anomalously high sea surface temperature and the accumulation of thermal stress.Read More →

Ecological Impacts of the 2015/16 El Niño in the Central Equatorial Pacific

January 2018
Russell E. Brainard, Thomas Oliver, Michael J. McPhaden, Anne Cohen, Roberto Venegas, Adel Heenan, Bernardo Vargas-Ángel, Randi Rotjan, Sangeeta Mangubhai, Elizabeth Flint, Susan A. Hunter
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Coral reef and seabird communities in the central equatorial Pacific were disrupted by record-setting sea surface temperatures, linked to an anthropogenically forced trend, during the 2015/16 El Niño.Read More →

Attribution of the July 2016 Extreme Precipitation Event Over China’s Wuhang

January 2018
Chunlüe Zhou, Kaicun Wang, Dan Qi
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Human-induced warming and El Niño may have substantially increased the probability of the occurrence of such events as the July 2016 extreme precipitation over China’s Wuhan.Read More →

Anthropogenic Enhancement of Moderate-to-Strong El Niño Events Likely Contributed to Drought and Poor Harvests in Southern Africa During 2016

January 2018
Chris Funk, Frank Davenport, Laura Harrison, Tamuka Magadzire, Gideon Galu, Guleid A. Artan, Shraddhanand Shukla, Diriba Korecha, Matayo Indeje, Catherine Pomposi, Denis Macharia, Gregory Husak, Faka Dieudonne Nsadisa
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
A 40-member CESM LE ensemble indicates that climate change likely increased the intensity of the 2015/16 El Niño, contributing to further decreases in SA precipitation, crop production and food availability.Read More →

Attributable Human-Induced Changes in the Likelihood and Magnitude of the Observed Extreme Precipitation During Hurricane Harvey

December 2017
Mark Risser, Michael Wehner
Geophysical Research Letters
This report analyzes observed precipitation to find that human-induced climate change likely increased the chances of the observed precipitation accumulations during Hurricane Harvey in the most affected areas of Houston. Read More →

The Rise in Atmospheric CO2, Surface Temperature, and Sea Level from Emissions Traced to Major Carbon Producers

September 2017
B. Ekwurzel, J. Boneham, M. W. Dalton, R. Heede, R. J. Mera, M. R. Allen, P. C. Frumhoff
Climatic Change
This article traces the rise in global atmospheric emissions from industrial carbon producers and seeks to highlight these emissions' historical responsibilities for climate change. Read More →

Influences of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Forcing on the Extreme 2015 Accumulated Cyclone Energy in the Western North Pacific

December 2016
Wei Zhang, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Hiroyuki Murakami, Gabriele Villarini, Thomas L. Delworth, Karen Paffendorf, Rich Gudgel, Liwei Jia, Fanrong Zeng, Xiaosong Yang
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The extreme value of the 2015 western North Pacific accumulated cyclone energy was mainly caused by the sea surface warming in the eastern and central Pacific. Read More →

Hurricane Gonzalo and Its Extratropical Transition to a Strong European Storm

December 2015
Frauke Feser, Monika Barcikowska, Susanne Haeseler, Christiana Lefebvre, Martina SchubertFrisius, Martin Stendel, Hans von Storch, Matthias Zahn
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
After transitioning from a hurricane to an extratropical storm, Gonzalo tracked unusually far, achieving exceptional strength over Europe; however, it was within the historical range of such transforming storms.Read More →

Anomalous Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific in August 2014

December 2015
Lei Yang, Xin Wang, Ke Huang, Dongxiao Wang
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The absence of western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity during August 2014 was apparently related to strong easterly wind anomalies induced by combined negative intraseasonal and Pacific decadal oscillation phases.Read More →

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