Climate Attribution

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Autumn and Winter storms over UK and Ireland are becoming wetter due to climate change

May 2024
Sarah F. Kew, Mark McCarthy, Ciara Ryan, Jennifer S.R. Pirret, Ellie Murtagh, Maja Vahlberg, Adwoa Amankona, James O. Pope, Fraser Lott, Oliver Claydon, Barry Coonan, Izidine Pinto, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip
World Weather Attribution
This peer-reviewed event study assesses the extent to which human-induced climate change and the North Atlantic Oscillation influenced the average storm severity over the United Kingdom and Ireland from October 2023 to March 2024.Read More →

Human-induced climate change compounded by socio-economic water stressors increased severity of drought in Syria, Iraq and Iran

November 2023
Friederike E. L. Otto, Ben Clarke, Mohammad Rahimi, Mariam Zachariah, Clair Barnes, Joyce Kimutai, Simphiwe Stewart, Maja Vahlberg, Abhinav Banthiya, Rana El Hajj
Grantham Institute for Climate Change
In this event study, the authors combine observations-based data products and climate models to assess the impact of climate change on a three-year drought across Iran, Iraq, and Syria.Read More →

Changes in hail hazard across Australia: 1979–2021

September 2023
Timothy H. Raupach, Joshua S. Soderholm, Robert A. Warren, Steven C. Sherwood
NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science
This peer-reviewed study conducts a continental-scale analysis of changes in hail hazard in Australia between 1971 and 2021, and demonstrates substantial increases in hail frequency in major Australian cities where hail impacts are most significant.Read More →

Interplay of climate change-exacerbated rainfall, exposure and vulnerability led to widespread impacts in the Mediterranean region

September 2023
Mariam Zachariah, Vassiliki Kotroni, Lagouvardos Kostas, Clair Barnes, Joyce Kimutai, Sarah Kew, Izidine Pinto, Nadia Bloemendaal, Wenchang Yang, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Lisa Thalheimer, Friederike Otto
Grantham Institute for Climate Change
This real-time event study assesses the torrential rain that fell in several countries across the Mediterranean in September 2023, and evaluates the role of human-induced climate change in the frequency and severity of such events.Read More →

Unprecedented Winter Rainfall Initiates Large Snow Avalanche and Mass Movement Cycle in New Zealand’s Southern Alps/Kā Tiritiri o te Moana

April 2023
Aubrey D. Miller, Todd A. N. Redpath, Pascal Sirguey, Simon C. Cox, Perry Bartelt, Don Bogie, Jono P. Conway, Nicolas J. Cullen, Yves Bühler
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study documents an extreme hazard sequence triggered by a record-breaking winter rainstorm in the Southern Alps of New Zealand. This storm has implications for anticipated hazard characteristics under future climate scenarios. Read More →