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Extreme Event Attribution


Regional Assessments

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Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan

March 2023
Friederike E L Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Fahad Saeed, Ayesha Siddiqi, Shahzad Kamil, Haris Mushtaq, T Arulalan, Krishna AchutaRao, S T Chaithra, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Piotr Wolski, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Luke J Harrington, Ben Clarke
Environmental Research: Climate
This peer-reviewed study uses a probabilistic event attribution methodology to assess the dynamics of extreme monsoon rainfall in Pakistan throughout the 2022 summer season. Read More →

Global concurrent climate extremes exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change

March 2023
Sha Zhou, Bofu Yu, and Yao Zhang
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study uses statistical analysis to link increased frequency of temperature and precipitation extremes to anthropogenic climate change. Read More →

When Will the Unprecedented 2022 Summer Heat Waves in Yangtze River Basin Become Normal in a Warming Climate?

February 2023
Feng Ma, Xing Yuan
Geophysical Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study examines the record-breaking 2022 heat wave in the Yangtze River basin, and concludes that without mitigation efforts (SSP585), the record-breaking heat would emerge as normal during 2050s.Read More →

Recent and future declines of a historically widespread pollinator linked to climate, land cover, and pesticides

January 2023
William M. Janousek, Margaret R. Douglas, Syd Cannings, Marion A. Clément, Casey M. Delphia, Jeffery G. Everett, Richard G. Hatfield, Douglas A. Keinath, Jonathan B. Uhuad Koch, Lindsie M. McCabe, John M. Mola, Jane E. Ogilvie, Imtiaz Rangwala, Leif L. Richardson, Ashley T. Rohde, James P. Strange, Lusha M. Tronstad, and Tabitha A. Graves
Proceedings of the National Academy of the Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses bayesian statistical methods to evaluate impacts of climate change on bumble bee populations. Bumble bees are projected to experience significant population decline over the next century due to climate-driven stressors. Read More →

Increasing western wildfire impacts on snowpack in the western U.S.

September 2022
Stephanie Kampf, Daniel McGrath, Megan Sears, Steven Fassnacht, Leonie Kiewiet, and John Hammond
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
This peer-reviewed study uses satellite mapping of snow pack in the western United States and government wildfire area datasets to show that wildfires are decreasing snow pack and shifting towards areas with late snow melt.Read More →

Extreme Heat in New Zealand: A Synthesis

September 2022
Luke J. Harrington, David Frame
Climatic Change
Report assessing the impacts of climate change on extreme heat in New Zealand's microclimates.Read More →

State of the Climate: New Jersey 2021

April 2022
James Shope, Anthony Broccoli, Brian Frei, Mathieu Gerbush, Jeanne Herb, Marjorie Kaplan, Erica Langer, Lucas Marxen, David Robinson
Rutgers
This report summarizes annually updated scientific information on climate trends and projections that can be used by state and local decision-makers, researchers, hazard planning and climate resilience professionals, and residents.Read More →

European State of the Climate 2021

April 2022
Copernicus Climate Change Service, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, European Commission
European Commission
This report summarizes Europe's climatic conditions in 2021, including a focus on the Arctic. Read More →

Projected increases in population exposure of daily climate extremes in eastern China by 2050

December 2021
Shah Sun, Tan-Long Dai, Zun-Ya Wang, Jie-Ming Chou, Qing-Chen Chao, Pei-Jun Shi
Advances in Climate Change Research
This peer-reviewed study uses climate and population growth models to project how population exposure to extreme climate conditions in eastern China will change by 2050. Read More →

Assessment of Historic and Future Trends of Extreme Weather in Texas, 1900-2036

October 2021
John Nielsen-Gammon, Sara Holman, Austin Buley, Savannah Jorgensen
Texas A&M University Office of the Texas State Climatologist
This report analyzes historic observations of temperature, precipitation, and extreme weather in Texas and identifies ongoing and likely future trends out to the year 2036.Read More →

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