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Extreme Event Attribution


Storms

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Increased U.S. Coastal Hurricane Risk under Climate Change

April 2023
Karthik Balaguru, Wenwei Xu, Chuan-Chieh Chang, L. Ruby Leung, David R. Judi, Samson M. Hagos, Michael F. Wehner, James P. Kossin, Minfang Ting
Science Advances
This peer-reviewed study creates future projections of hurricane activity (1980–2100), downscaled from multiple climate models using a synthetic hurricane model, that show an enhanced hurricane frequency for the Gulf and lower East coast regions.Read More →

Synthesis Report of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report

March 2023
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
This Synthesis Report summarizes the state of knowledge of climate change, its widespread impacts and risks, and climate change mitigation and adaptation, based on the peer-reviewed scientific, technical and socio-economic literature since 2014.Read More →

Increasing sequential tropical cyclone hazards along the US East and Gulf coasts

February 2023
Dazhi Xi, Ning Lin, Avantika Gori
Nature Climate Change
In this peer-reviewed study, the authors investigate the change in sequential hurricane hazards. The study finds that the chance of sequential cyclone hazards has been increasing over the past several decades at many US locations.Read More →

Climate change likely increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan

September 2022
Friederike E. L. Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Fahad Saeed, Ayesha Siddiqi, Kamil Shahzad, Haris Mushtaq, Arulalan T, Krishna AchutaRao, Chaithra S, Clair Barnes, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Robert Vautard, Gerbrand Koren, Izidine Pinto, Piotr Wolski, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maarten van Aalst, Lisa Thalheimer, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Wenchang Yang, Luke J. Harrington, Ben Clarke
Worldwide Weather Attribution
Between June and August of 2022, rains flooding in Pakistan affected over 33 million people, destroyed 1.7 million homes, and killed nearly 1500 people. This event attribution study analyzes the impact of climate change on this extreme rainfall.Read More →

Earlier onset of North Atlantic hurricane season with warming oceans

August 2022
Ryan E. Truchelut, Philip J. Klotzbach, Erica M. Staehling, Kimberly M. Wood, Daniel J. Halperin, Carl J. Schreck III & Eric S. Blake
Nature Communications
This study shows a significant trend towards earlier onset of tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin associated with warming oceans. Read More →

The role of human-induced climate change in heavy rainfall events such as the one associated with Typhoon Hagibis

May 2022
Sihan Li & Friederike E. L. Otto
Climatic Change
This study estimates that roughly $4 billion of the damages due to the extreme heavy rainfall associated with Typhoon Hagibis are due to human-induced climate change.Read More →

Climate change exacerbated rainfall causing devastating flooding in Eastern South Africa

May 2022
Izidine Pinto, Mariam Zachariah, Piotr Wolski, Stephanie Landman, Vanetia Phakula, Wisani Maluleke, Mary-Jane Bopape, Christien Engelbrecht, Christopher Jack, Alice McClure, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Dorothy Heinrich, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun , Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Jordis Tradowsky, Friederike E. L. Otto, Romeo Dipura
World Weather Attribution
This study assesses the role of climate change in flooding in Eastern South Africa.Read More →

Accelerating flash droughts induced by the joint influence of soil moisture depletion and atmospheric aridity

May 2022
Yamin Qing, Shuo Wang, Brian C. Ancell & Zong-Liang Yang
Nature Communications
This study assesses the rates and causes of flash floods.Read More →

Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall to human-induced climate change

April 2022
Kevin A. Reed, Michael F. Wehner & Colin M. Zarzycki
Nature Communications
This study quantifies the impact of human-induced climate change on the extreme 3-hourly storm rainfall rates and extreme 3-day accumulated rainfall amounts during the full 2020 hurricane season.Read More →

Climate change increased rainfall associated with tropical cyclones hitting highly vulnerable communities in Madagascar, Mozambique & Malawi

April 2022
Friederike E. L. Otto, Mariam Zachariah, Piotr Wolski, Izidine Pinto, Rondrotiana Barimalala, Bernardino Nhamtumbo, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Linh N. Luu, Dorothy Heinrich, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Luke J. Harrington
World Weather Attribution
This study analyses how human-induced climate change affected the 3-day average annual maximum rainfall in the regions worst hit by Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Cyclone Batsirai.Read More →

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