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Extreme Event Attribution


Storms

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Poleward expansion of tropical cyclone latitudes in warming climates

December 2021
Joshua Studholme, Alexey V. Fedorov, Sergey K. Gulev, Kerry Emanuel, & Kevin Hodges
Nature Geoscience
This study concludes that twenty-first century tropical cyclones will most probably occupy a broader range of latitudes than those of the past 3 million years.Read More →

Projected increases in population exposure of daily climate extremes in eastern China by 2050

December 2021
Shah Sun, Tan-Long Dai, Zun-Ya Wang, Jie-Ming Chou, Qing-Chen Chao, Pei-Jun Shi
Advances in Climate Change Research
This peer-reviewed study uses climate and population growth models to project how population exposure to extreme climate conditions in eastern China will change by 2050. Read More →

Atlantic tropical cyclones downscaled from climate reanalyses show increasing activity over past 150 years

December 2021
Kerry Emanuel
Nature Communications
This study uses a tropical cyclone downscaling model to show increasing tropical cyclone activity.Read More →

Sequential Landfall of Tropical Cyclones in the United States: From Historical Records to Climate Projections

November 2021
Dazhi Xi, Ning Lin
Geophysical Research Letters
This study examines sequential landfalling tropical cyclones along U.S. East and Gulf Coasts.Read More →

Future Global Convective Environments in CMIP6 Models

November 2021
Chiara Lepore, Ryan Abernathey, Naomi Henderson, John T. Allen, Michael K. Tippett
Earth's Future
This study shows how severe weather proxies change as a function of global temperature increase.Read More →

Assessment of Historic and Future Trends of Extreme Weather in Texas, 1900-2036

October 2021
John Nielsen-Gammon, Sara Holman, Austin Buley, Savannah Jorgensen
Texas A&M University Office of the Texas State Climatologist
This report analyzes historic observations of temperature, precipitation, and extreme weather in Texas and identifies ongoing and likely future trends out to the year 2036.Read More →

Double benefit of limiting global warming for tropical cyclone exposure

September 2021
Tobias Geiger, Johannes Gütschow, David N. Bresch, Kerry Emanuel, and Katja Frieler
Nature Climate Change
This study quantifies country-level population exposure to tropical cyclone winds for different magnitudes of global mean surface temperature increase and future population distributions.Read More →

Anthropogenic influence on extreme precipitation over global land areas seen in multiple observational datasets

July 2021
Gavin D. Madakumbura, Chad W. Thackeray, Jesse Norris, Naomi Goldenson & Alex Hall
Nature Communications
Climate change is rendering hurricanes, monsoons and other extreme events more destructive all over the world. Read More →

Change in the Occurrence Frequency of Landfalling and Non-Landfalling Tropical Cyclones over the Northwest Pacific

March 2021
Mingzhong Xiao
American Meteorological Society
Results indicate that the super Tropical Cyclones have been more likely to make landfall in the northwest Pacific since 1980.Read More →

WMO Atlas of Mortality and Economic Losses from Weather, Climate and Water Extremes (1970–2019)

January 2021
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
An overview of impacts from weather, climate, and water extremes globally from 1970 to 2019, with a section on climate change attribution.Read More →

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