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Extreme Event Attribution


Storms

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WMO Atlas of Mortality and Economic Losses from Weather, Climate and Water Extremes (1970–2019)

January 2021
World Meteorological Organization
World Meteorological Organization
An overview of impacts from weather, climate, and water extremes globally from 1970 to 2019, with a section on climate change attribution.Read More →

Press Release: 16 Million Children Affected by Massive Flooding in South Asia, with Millions More at Risk

September 2020
United Nations International Children's Fund
United Nations International Children's Fund (UNICEF)
This article describes how monsoon rains and catastrophic flooding in Nepal, India, and Bangladesh left 16 million children and their families were in urgent need of life-saving support. Read More →

Forecasted attribution of the human influence on Hurricane Florence

January 2020
K. A Reed, A. M. Stansfield, M. F. Wehner, C. M. Zarzycki
Science Advances
Advance forecasted conditional attribution statements, using a numerical model, were made about the anthropogenic climate change influence on an individual tropical cyclone, Hurricane Florence.Read More →

Limiting global warming to 1.5º C will lower increases in inequalities of four hazard indicators of climate change

November 2019
Hideo Shiogama, Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Daisuke Murakami, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Katsumasa Tanaka, Seita Emori, Izumi Kubota, Manabu Abe, Yukiko Imada, Masahiro Watanabe, Daniel Mitchell, Nathalie Schaller, Jana Sillmann, Erich Fischer, John Scinocca, Ingo Bethke, Ludwig Lierhammer, Jun'ya Takakura, Tim Trautmann, Petra Döll, Sebastian Ostberg, Hannes Schmeid, Fahad Saeed, and Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
Environmental Research Letters
This peer-reviewed study uses climate modeling and socioeconomic indexes to predict the impact of extreme events under 1.5º C and 2º C of warming, especially their impact on least developed countries.Read More →

Normalized US hurricane damage estimates using area of total destruction, 1900−2018

November 2019
Aslak Grinsted, Peter Ditlevsen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
This article finds an emergent positive trend in hurricane damage, which is attributed to a detectable change in extreme storms due to global warming.Read More →

Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment Part I: Detection and Attribution

October 2019
Thomas Knutson, Suzana J. Camargo, Johnny C. L. Chan, Kerry Emanuel, Chang-Hoi Ho, James Kossin, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Masaki Satoh, Masato Sugi, Kevin Walsh, Liguang Wu
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
This paper reviews the detection and attribution of changes in tropical cyclone activity due to climate change. It examines how developments in science have advanced understanding of tropical cyclone activity under changing climatic conditions. Read More →

Recent increase in catastrophic tropical cyclone flooding in coastal North Carolina, USA: Long-term observations suggest a regime shift

July 2019
Hans W. Paerl, Nathan S. Hall, Alexandria G. Hounshell, Richard A. Luettich Jr., Karen L. Rossignol, Christopher L. Osburn, Jerad Bales
Nature
Examination of continuous rainfall records for coastal NC since 1898 reveals a trend toward increasingly high precipitation associated with tropical cyclones over the last 120 yearsRead More →

Deadly Weather: The Human Cost of 2018’s Climate Disasters — Visual Guide

December 2018
Daniel Levitt, Peter Andringa, Frank Hulley-Jones, Lydia Smears, Jonathan Watts
The Guardian
This article describes the climate disasters that the world experienced in 2018 by month, including extreme temperatures in Europe, drought in Argentina, flooding in India, and hurricanes and wildfires in the United States.Read More →

Hurricane Harvey Links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation

May 2018
Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Earth's Future
This article uses ocean and atmosphere observations to demonstrate links between increased upper ocean heat content due to global warming with the extreme rainfalls from recent hurricanes.Read More →

Quantitative Attribution of Climate Effects on Hurricane Harvey’s Extreme Rainfall in Texas

April 2018
S-Y Simon Wang, Lin Zhao, Jin-Ho Yoon, Phil Klotzbach, Robert R Gillies
Environmental Research Letters
This study suggests that post-1980 climate warming could have contributed to the extreme precipitation of Hurricane Harvey. Read More →

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