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Climate Change Attribution


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Changes in the Geospatial Height at 500 hPa Under the Influence of External Climatic Forcings

November 2015
Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A. Stott
Geophysical Research Letters
This study investigates the effects of climate forcings in the lower atmosphere using the geopotential height at 500 hPa, revealing the prominent role of human influence on some recent climatic changes.Read More →

Climate Change Effects on Heat- and Cold-Related Mortality in the Netherlands: A Scenario-Based Integrated Environmental Health Impact Assessment

October 2015
Maud M. T. E. Huynen, Pim Martens
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
This article explores the impacts of climate change on heat and cold-related mortality, illustrating that model outcomes are not only highly dependent on climate scenarios, but also on adaptation assumptions. Read More →

Crucial Role of Black Sea Warming in Amplifying the 2012 Krymsk Precipitation Extreme

July 2015
Edmund P. Meredith, Vladimir A. Semenov, Douglas Maraun, Wonsun Park, Alexander V. Chernokulsky
Nature Geoscience
This study examines the effect of sea surface temperature (SST) increase on convective extremes within the region, taking the Krymsk event as a showcase example. Read More →

Attribution of the Record High Central England Temperature of 2014 to Anthropogenic Influences

May 2015
Andrew D King, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, David J Karoly, Sophie C Lewis, Heidi Cullen
Environmental Research Letters
This study points to a large influence of human activities on extreme warm years despite the small region of study and the variable climate of Central England, demonstrating that climate change is clearly visible on the local-scale in this case.Read More →

Anthropogenic Warming Has Increased Drought Risk in California

March 2015
Noah S. Diffenbaugh, Daniel L. Swain, Danielle Touma
Proceedings of the National Academy of the Sciences of the United States of America
This study finds that precipitation deficits in California were more than twice as likely to yield drought years if they occurred when conditions were warm. Read More →

Causes of the Extreme Dry Conditions Over California During Early 2013

September 2014
Hailan Wang, Siegfried Schubert
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
The 2013 SST anomalies produced a predilection for California drought, whereas the longterm warming trend appears to make no appreciable contribution because of the counteraction between its dynamical and thermodynamic effects. Read More →

Attributing Mortality from Extreme Temperatures to Climate Change in Stockholm, Sweden

October 2013
Daniel Oudin Åström, Bertil Forsberg, Kristie L. Ebi, Joacim Rocklöv
Nature Climate Change
This study seeks to understand the extent to which mortality due to temperature extremes in Stockholm, Sweden during 1980– 2009 can be attributed to climate change that has occurred since their reference period (1900–1929). Read More →

Shifts in the Seasonal Distribution of Deaths in Australia, 1968–2007

April 2013
Charmian M. Bennett, Keith B. G. Dear, Anthony J. McMichael
International Journal of Biometeorology
This study examines the ratio of summer to winter deaths in Australia with a background of rising average annual temperature over four decades, and finds that change has been driven more by reduced winter mortality than by increased summer mortality.Read More →

Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change Impacts

March 2013
Cynthia Rosenzweig, and Peter Neofotis
WIREs Climate Change
This paper argues that the expansion of methods of detection is key to discerning the climate sensitivities of sectors and systems in regions where the impacts of climate change currently remain elusive. Read More →

IPCC AR5 WGI Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis

January 2013
Lisa V. Alexander, Simon K. Allen, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, François-Marie Bréon, John A. Church, Ulrich Cubasch, Seita Emori, Piers Forster, Pierre Friedlingstein, Nathan Gillett, Jonathan M. Gregory, Dennis L. Hartmann, Eystein Jansen, Ben Kirtman, Reto Knutti, Krishna Kumar Kanikicharla, Peter Lemke, Jochem Marotzke, Valérie Masson-Delmotte, Gerald A. Meehl, Igor I. Mokhov, Shilong Piao, Gian-Kasper Plattner, Qin Dahe, Venkatachalam Ramaswamy, David Randall, Monika Rhein, Maisa Rojas, Christopher Sabine, Drew Shindell, Thomas F. Stocker, Lynne D. Talley, David G. Vaughan, ShangPing Xie
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
This report considers new evidence of climate change based on many independent scientific analyses from observations of the climate system, paleoclimate archives, theoretical studies of climate processes and simulations using climate models. Read More →

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